Im not asking about the swap _to_ admin wallet 1, im asking about the transfer of the 180 received by crypto account 1, how can they know it came from admin wallet 1?
Discussion
they had already identified Bitcoin wallets associated with the DNM
ie "adminwallet1"
I still dont understand
also I'm reading "from admin wallet 1"
but you said "to admin wallet 1"
the DNM admin wallet is sending Bitcoin to the swap service
and the moron is having the swapped couns sent to his CEX account
or as STN *guesses* (since theres a 4 xmr descrepency)
having the XMR swap sent to his own wallet and then IMMEDIATELY sending it to the CEX
but how do they know the CEX account received from admin 1, is it just a timing assumption?
as far as they say here it is just a timing assumption
and amount correlation
since the amount of Bitcoin going into the swap is almost exactly the relative amount of monero that hits the CEX
This is what im trying to get at. That's spurious as fuck.
well
I'm not a lawyer so I'll defer to your expertise
but if you can show 5 different times coins move from an address to a know swap address
and moments later an equivalent amount of monero comes to the exchange.
as a jury member I'd believe it wasn't circumstantial 🤷
If it were the exact same amount that'd be one thing, but also juries are stupid but also many judges are also stupid, but timing is bad evidence.
oh but this isn't trial evidence
this doc is just the FBI trying to get a arrest warrant,
so I expect that changes their perceived burden of evidence?
I dont know specifics about criminal burden of proof but perhaps its enough probable cause for a warrant. At the end of the day, I'd want to show 1,000 other transactions happening at the same time in the approximately same amount. I'd probably have to subpoena the CEX for all monero transactions incoming and outgoing around that same time period and be like "see" why not imprison all of these people.
apparently the FBI felt like it was convincing...
STN also seems to feel that way.