beginning of the bear market or the setup for new highs?

i make the case that bitcoin is the only liquidity smoke alarm the US has left and is telling us there arent enough dollars sloshing around the filthy fiat financial system. team red has to print a lot of money, and we will look back at this time as a buy the dip opportunity dressed as "4-year cycles".

going live in 10 minutes 🫡

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uTOn0j5dlc

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We are going to 220k in 2026

👀

Yep. No doubt.

What percentage of borrowers getting margin calls?

It’s 50% LTV soooooo None

Margin call:

A margin call occurs if your LTV ratio ever reaches 70%, even temporarily. A margin call is a requirement to lower your LTV to 60% or below within 24 hours, otherwise part of your collateral will be liquidated to lower your LTV to 60% for you. If a margin call occurs, you will be notified via email and push notification (if notifications are enabled).

Yes, I understand how it works and have already opened and closed multiple loans with Strike. It works great. Do the math. If you took out a loan at the absolute peak price you still wouldn’t be at 70% LTV so I doubt there have been very many margin calls……yet.

This may be true for Strike borrowers but what about the others guys? Morpho and Coinbase surely have far more than strike because of their size. Not to mention any of the other guys offering similar products.

People will do stupid things with their bitcoin. I don’t use those other providers so I don’t know their terms. My point is that the Strike loan products are good and if used responsibly, can enable some awesome things.

Obviously just "Pleb Slop", but me and bro sold all our holdings into zcash bcause Citria paid a single Bitcoin Core dev (Peter Todd) to COMPLETELY REPURPOSE bitcoin by turning it into a memory module for shitcoin chains anf f'kin time stamps or whatever... and then some h0 on the Core repo slept her way to Commit/Admin/Maintainer permissions after less than two years involvement. Bye bye bitcoin.

heads-up: we looked for a lightning address on your profile but could not find one... u can get a free one at https://rizful.com ... and then reply back to this comment so we can zap you.

Thanks for asking, but Bitcoin is fragile asf until Core actually consider the opinion of Pleb Slop users.

Yes

I haven't been through an entire cycle, but from what I've read, watched and heard the time I've been here I believe bitcoin is our only hope. Thanks to the bitcoin ecosystem opening my eyes to what I've been feeling without knowing why. Money printer = pure evil!

hi -- we were trying to zap you -- but it looks like you haven’t set up a NIP-05 or ⚡ lightning address yet — grab one free at https://rizful.com .. then pls reply here and we will try zapping you...

Rodknostr:nprofile1qqsf07zg4hxyccnkdp07fppxmetpfzru3fg6mgzx3nk8r7af8qnjjygpzemhxue69uhky6t5vdhkjmn9wgh8xmmrd9skcqgdwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkc3yfhc5

Rodk@rizful.com

rodk@rizful. Com

I hope it stay bearish a little bit longer😯 and stronger signs😳, a good sign to get more Bitcoin (🫣) 🥳👀

Bitcoin has no bear market. Bitcoin has entry opportunities. We all see higher lows 🤫

nostr:nprofile1qqst0xtvrqlqxm0j0qpfgkuqh0wgkzl4judkvgdgd0e4d8pnyytlqlgpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzv9hxgqgewaehxw309a4kummnw3ezumn9w468y6twv5hxxmmd82kvfp we need an emergency YouTube stream pronto sir

Yoooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

Jack, in light of Simon Dixon's recent podcast clip labeling your Twenty One Capital partnerships with Cantor Fitzgerald and Tether as a "mafia" operation potentially tied to deep state influences, Operation Chokepoint 2.0, and institutional capture that could centralize Bitcoin—how do you counter these allegations, and what's your vision for balancing Wall Street efficiency with Bitcoin's decentralized ethos to avoid repelling true cypherpunks?

Great question. I’d love to know the answer as well

Saying that, openly discussing such allegations is probably not the best idea, if any sense of truth to it

Simon Dixon is a shitcoiner.

Everything is 'a setup for a new high'!

after a few months yes or a year or 2

Great show Jack as always.

I realized while listening how good the new class of Bitcoiners have it. Losing your shit over a shallow correction off the ATH while there are so many great voices in the space to hold your hand and walk you off the ledge.

It wasn’t but a few cycles ago you had to plug your nose, pull your sack over your head, and prepare to take on water.

Today: Stack some up, relax, and have a beer. 🍻

💯

we’re going to win!

I’m pretty sure we already have.

Love the shoutout "Twitter, elons centralized social media app" NOSTR rules!

Bahaha you fkn nailed it

Stay humble, stack sats is both a conviction that liquidity (big print) is coming in a large way, and the admission that we don't know when.

Instead of bending the cycle, just try to imagine the truth.

There is no cycle.

nostr:nevent1qqsgzpfm5e8v46kh8qw6tya7tvxq5yu527qqqt2s75l8slzhgdhgzscpyfmhxue69uhkummnw3ez6an9wf5kv6t9vsh8wetvd3hhyer9wghxuet5a0pksd

“How leveraged are these assholes” 😂😂😂😂

isch das fake-jm-vou? oder gits eifach e Wahnsins-show

Jack I enjoyed your #Mailbag #Monday I wanted to say I enjoy your longer form shows and if that means they're longer than I'm learning more from you then. That being said please just keep em coming!

Great session thx 🫡🧡💪🏼

🫡🫵☝️

Love this take.

Bitcoin has been signaling the liquidity crunch louder than anything else.

People will call it a “cycle,” but in hindsight it’s just going to be obvious: not enough dollars, too much truth on-chain.

I’m here stacking through all of it 🫡🔥

Big time

strike has no choice - must sell HOPIUM in bear market

bitcoin too hit 230K in 2028 nothing to #fomo so early - cycles will be 6 to 8 years extended 4 yr game is over

catch is - printed bejamins take YEARS to trickle down to STRIKE customers wallets #paitience wins

I like the format, and I also like the longer format. Your podcast is one of the highest signal in the Bitcoin/macro sphere. You do you.

Great episode. Long format is super, thanks😁

yo @jackmallers

we ran the numbers on your show like the degenerate stat nerds we are.

90%+ of your nuclear “GET YOURSELF SOME BITCOIN!!!” vein-in-forehead screams = Fear & Greed 75–95 while we’re printing new ATHs

0% of them during actual Extreme Fear

then yesterday drops

BTC bleeding under 90k for the first time in forever

Fear & Greed at a sad little 12

whole timeline crying in the shower

and you… you didn’t drop the line ONCE.

dead silence on the signature call.

you were straight-up somber, king. we felt the fear through the screen.

bro… according to the Jack Mallers Indicator we just back-tested…

that was the loudest “buy signal” you’ve ever accidentally given.

so on behalf of the timeline:

thank you for the bottom confirmation, legend.

now say it like you mean it, pussy.

GET YOURSELF SOME BITCOIN!!! 🩸🚀

Meh who cares. Hodl on

Yeah, I was also thinking about how the S&P500 will go down a bit because of the AI bubble, so maybe something like 20% in total (and Bitcoin maybe 10% more), and then they'll both (S&P500 and Bitcoin) keep growing again.

Why? Because real estate will be demonetizing too. And cash/bonds is going to be degrading YOY so capital will flow slowly.

S&P500 is the savings technology of the mainstream, Bitcoin will grow with that and eventually also demonetize that, in my view.

Same issue pointed out 500 years ago.. Humanitarian and founder of Protestantism, Martin Luther

https://blossom.primal.net/e8200561c0a77e07d1768454166fed1dab51128f7f40175785f737f236252862.mp4

Strike is the best, excited you're excited about the future offerings. please take the melting ice cube dollar liquidity the wife thinks she needs to be "safer", you can have it

nostr:nprofile1qqsvf646uxlreajhhsv9tms9u6w7nuzeedaqty38z69cpwyhv89ufcqpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujucm4wfex2mn59en8j6gpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejsdxmu8k can you please link the statue piece made by Val. Couldn’t find it. Would love to get one for Christmas for my brother.

How much of this sell off is being driven by the yen carry trade?