Bitcoin maxi here. Want to learn more about this.

Lightning definitely provides more privacy than the base chain. But there aren’t enough sats for everyone to open a lightning channel. I think that most people will be using custodial options in the future. That’s my concern and I think that’s a valid one. If lightning offers good privacy, then would liquid be even better? Yes it’s custodial but the user base is small and the risk seems low given the federation model. Are solutions like these the ultimate future for p2p bitcoin?

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Lightning over liquid is not such a bad idea because the layer where people transact is hidden anyway so even if the federation wanted to censor they couldn't.

Bro you gotta check out Phoenix and Zeus.

I use them regularly.

Literally any question at all, let me know. Self-custodial LN has come a long, long way. And there's indeed a long, long way to go. But I love the progress so far.

I’ve used Phoenix. I heard that it’s not the best for privacy because of the way the infrastructure is setup. Idk what the details are. Zeus seems to be a lot better but lightning is just a pain in the ass in general. Waiting for a simpler solution.

Yeah but it's a pain in the ass that's worth enduring for me.

It was initially annoying, much like anything new that you have to learn and get used to.

But once I started understanding how things work and worked out my ideas setup, I started loving it.

Have you lost sats from channel closures?

Nope

I've had one force closure but I only incurred the fee for it

Also, the state of privacy won't be the same as it is right now. Haven't been as dialed in as usual because I'm temporarily deep into the political and economic rabbithole nowadays, but the following are developments to keep an eye on

PTLC's, blinded paths and bolt12 are some of them, trampoline routing.

(Not making any comparison here with other networks, since I only keep track of what's happening with Bitcoin.)

And taproot adoption in lightning would also be quite an improvement in privacy of course. Zeus already lets you open taproot channels

> there aren’t enough sats for everyone to open a lightning channel

how many sats are necessary?

The common recommendation I’ve heard is that you should open lightning channels with at least 1 million sats. There are about 8 billion people on earth. The math doesn’t add up.

That's assuming 1 million sats will always be worth what they are now haha

Right but if the size of the channel you open gets smaller, at some point it becomes too expensive to open because of the high fees on the base chain. Imagine opening a channel with half a million sats when fees are high. That’s why I’m asking because I’ve heard a lot of bitcoiners talk about this problem and they’ve said that a lot of the transactions have to be done on other layers. Custodial seems unavoidable.

Not agreeing or disagreeing with you as this can get too speculative.

But I can speak reliably about how I plan and manage my set up.

I make sure I have a decent amount of inbound for my needs, which are quite predictable. I add a slight extra buffer just in case of course.

I either lease inbound from an LSP or open a channel myself and clear out sats to make room for inbound.

I see custodial wallets as a quick temporary fix that I can use as a short-term solution to reduce costs. But I'll eventually shift to self-custodial once the fee market looks more favourable.

I’m not even trying to argue i just had legitimate questions. I don’t understand this enough. Does anyone think the future of bitcoin is going to be custodial lightning or some other solution like ecash? Maybe a combination of all these things

To be honest, I don't think anyone can know. Different people have different needs and preferences on how to custody their sats.

Based on the technical developments and the fee market conditions I've seen so far, I am not worried.

A combination of everything that exists right now and more is a good, 'safe' answer 😂

Ecash

Custodial