I went to look at the biggest bet on trump
His position is in profit, and even him moves the needle only a point. The market already has $1.5bi
IMO prediction market are today the most relevant way to look at it
This is a good hypothesis of what’s going on with Polymarket https://www.joanwestenberg.com/decoding-trumps-53-odds-on-polymarket/
Discussion
To me, 58% to 41% seems suspicious. Those odds seem skewed compared to polling and other betting markets.
then go bet dude