Are we sure that phase already didn't come and go? It seems like 2008 could have been the catalyst to start the fourth turning. Or it could have been really late, but still within the 15 year gap, and we say that COVID-19 was the start in 2020.
Discussion
That is the calm before the storm.
Im not 100% sure when those periods start and end exactly
No one really knows... They're all roughly every 20 years or every generation and it generally takes an event to happen to kick off the next cycle as the current generation acts in a way based on their upbringing.
9/11/2001 was the beginning of the 4th Turning imho.
25-30yrs marks a turning.
In this case there was a financial crisis in 2008 & then a continued acceleration of a widening wealth gap - into the crash landing that is COVID.
Now we have the vaccine & corruption fallout.
2026-2031 is the end of the 4th & beginning of the first.
Although, some people say 2028 is the earliest the 4th turning will end due to the election cycles.
Interesting. But yeah, a turning is generally every 20 years or every generation, but they don't always happen on schedule, it's a variance of about 15 years. 2001 could have been the start, which would have been a few years early. If you're right and September 11th started it then ending it could coincide with the next Bitcoin halving, the US Presidential election, and Bitcoin ETFs. It's all bullish for Bitcoin beginning an awakening... Who knows?
I donāt see the fourth turning ending in a decade. I just donāt see how we could have that many competent people showing up to shift the balance. (Unless mass war/die off happens)
When a line of credit costs 15-17%APR & counting you can bet that people are going to have to start working harder or go bankrupt.
This paradigm is what shifts behavior, no need for mass war.