You’re a moron.

Why is there inflation? I never asked this question to myself ever, just thought it was “just the way things are”. Until #bitcoin

Found it. Look up the finite mixture model. It's a question of trend analysis. To be honest, I didn't even bother. I just found data from both electionsand compared numbers. It's way to blatant so moved on. I saw couple of articles recently with finite mixture on Georgia elections. Did not look encouraging

I really should stay clear of this thread but will just make one little comment. Do as you wish with it. One of the main thing to come out of this election for someone like me who spends life immersed in data is the numbers and not just totals but by states. I care not for lawyers or rhetoric from either side, it's distraction from an issue. The numbers demonstrate an extremely high probability of massive corruption in the previous election. If you'd believe that, drop the media or social media, download some data and have a play yourself. The last election was a total fraud.

Any partisan position on this is infantile:

For dems, if you don't admit to reality and assist in fixing this, it could be done in future by the other side.

For reps, you might despise the idea that the last election was a cheat but you'd not benefit from it being done in future the other way around.

Y'all need to get together, bury the hatchet, admit to some blunt numerical facts and work to fix this so you can all have a little more faith in each other, regardless which direction wins.

gm

In fiction, the point of view from how we see the story can often color how we perceive the ethics of characters. And of course, that lesson can apply in real life as well.

If you ask most people if Neo and Trinity in the Matrix are heroes or anti-heroes, for example, they’ll probably say heroes. There is nothing particularly dark or edgy about them other than kind of a general “cool” factor. They’re pretty chill and well-meaning people in their downtime, we care about their relationship, they help their friends, they have rather pure motivations, etc.

But in the Matrix, agents can teleport themselves into any unplugged person. Which means that when Neo or Trinity attack a place, they pretty much have to slaughter everyone. Leaving survivors means that agents can teleport in. Innocent guards and stuff just get wiped out by the dozens. The stakes of humanity being enslaved by the machines are so high, that the characters don’t even really debate the ethics of this; they just accept it.

Like literally the opening scene is Trinity killing police, and the audience is like “wow cool” instead of “so, is that the antagonist?” The famous lobby scene consists of Neo and Trinity wiping out tons of guards that are just doing their job of guarding a skyscraper. In the sequel, Trinity sends a motorcycle bomb into a power station, and then murders the remaining guards as they attack her. We all basically like Trinity, and yet there are platoons of widows and orphans out there from all the guards she killed. There aren’t really even any scenes of her reflecting on that, like finding it emotionally difficult in any way to do those things or feeling in any way haunted by it.

If the Matrix story was shown from like, a detective’s point of view, these characters are terrorists and would either seem like outright villains (if you don’t know their motivation) or anti-heroes if you do (ends justify the means; mass-murder is okay and not even worth feeling bad about if it saves billions).

So, how the movie *frames* things for us makes a big difference. We closely follow Neo and Trinity so much that we’re like, “of course they’re the heroes”. The same thing happens in real life with political commentators and things like that; a cultural narrative can frame something as wholly good or wholly bad when often it’s actually kind of complex.

Therefore, it’s a useful practice whether in analyzing fiction or real life, to always ask how you could invert the framing for something.

First cup of the day ☕️

#coffechain

There are conspiracies. One very famous and well documented is demonetization of silver.

This is the most plausible explanation for sure. But that doesn’t mean that there are no conspiracies. Incentives to conspire also occur by emergent behaviour.

So does the recently new field of behavioural science, that studies how big groups of people behave to different stimuli.

Then there’s the iron law of institutions and the fact that all these powerful people do actually meet up frequently, are obsessed with influencing behaviour and all seem to have aligned incentives to increase the power they already enjoy.

So yes, let’s not get fooled by randomness. But let’s not dismiss the fact that conspiracies are also a natural part of

Why everything has to be a conspiracy? The food industry is so evil that the CEOs sat down and hatched a plan how to make us all sick, probably buying stock in drug companies to fix it?

This sloppy thinking does not pass through the razors. It is complicated (Occam's razor) and much better explained by stupidity (Hanlon's razor) than malice.

People are confused by this, because they see emergent behavior. Yes, everything has sugar, because sugar sells. There's no conspiracy, the companies are selling people what they want. So don't want what is not good for you.

I know that it's much more fun to believe that there's an evil with a face and name causing all our troubles rather than saying people demand this and market supplies.

People can't agree on a date of a meeting with five people. But world wide conspiracy flourishes, it's kept mostly secret (except of you, right? You're one of the few that know about it, because someone tweeted about it).

Conspiracies are for people who want to complain and find whose fault something is. Much better approach for each individual - identify what's good for you and demand it. And don't get fooled by emergent behavior in complex systems. It might feel planned, but it just appears out of trillions of interactions. Yes, it's magic. Soros, Gates and Klaus don't have much more say in it than you do.

In America you can grow up the child of a drug addict engulfed in trauma and rise through your own individual effort to become the vice president of the United States.

Stop the black pill bullshit.

America is a beautiful place worth fighting for.

And here come the attacks on Rep Moulton from the loser cancel police. INSANE. I also know him and he fights so hard for the lgtbq community. This is insane and disgusting, but I shouldnt be surprised. nostr:note16uyrg7nyehc9apvg7s74s7wykc7m8fef25rpsx3az5r27l858vyscystdj

My YouTube algorithm right now:

Liberal meltdowns over election

Tasty beef recipes

Rottweilers being silly

Hilarious morning on Nostr.

Breakfast for dinner.. LFG

I don’t recommend shit.

Ever.

Unless I’m trolling you. Then I might. But not this time.

I gave you the gift of bringing back X-Files.

You’re welcome again for that. Going backwards is going forward as it relates to watchable shows.

Except SILO. I do like that one.

It’s just not it. There’s so much bad out there that people want it to be good.

Way overacted. Dumb as shit & cartoonish.

I fuckin hate The Penguin. And I tried.