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SimOne
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Fascinated by freedom, history, humans, nature and the final frontier. šŸ•ŠļøšŸ“ššŸ«‚šŸ€šŸ’« Grateful for it all. šŸ™ Mother & Farmer’s Wife working towards self-sovereignty one choice at a time. šŸ‡¬šŸ‡§ > šŸ‡©šŸ‡Ŗ > šŸ‡­šŸ‡· šŸ‘¦šŸ¼ šŸ‘§šŸ¼ šŸ‘©šŸ¼ā€šŸŒ¾ šŸ‘ØšŸ»ā€šŸŒ¾ šŸ° šŸ„ šŸ“ šŸ¦† šŸŽšŸŒ² šŸ¤ āš”ļøšŸ§” I chose to play a different game…₿

As if people can’t load a dishwasher properly?

Dry aged tomahawk from Ireland…delicious!

I mean it’s beautiful as is but can’t wait to see it in its full glory! Happy sanding! ✨🧔

Wow!! My favourite piece so far! Stunning!! Honey Calcite is correlated with elevated awareness that aids in the development of supernatural abilities. Are you going to polish it to a high shine?

ā€œEven if I knew that tomorrow the world would go to pieces, I would still plant my apple tree.ā€

— Martin Luther

Some things won’t stay hidden…

GN!

Because of Nostr I spend Bitcoin more regularly than I spend Fiat.

The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else.

— FrĆ©dĆ©ric Bastiat

An individual who breaks a law that conscience tells him is unjust… is in reality expressing the highest respect for law.

— Martin Luther King Jr.

Replying to Avatar Jeff Booth

Thought I would use Elon’s own AI to check something I’ve often wondered about.

One thing if you don’t know - a completely different thing if you know.

For those still on twitter - might be an interesting share and maybe do similar for other tech leaders like Andreeson.

Ask Grok: What is the likelihood that Elon Musk knows that the 1) natural state of the free market is deflation, 2) That in a free market the exponential technology gains "should" flow to society in the form of lower prices, 3) That ANYTHING that stops that natural process is theft through a centralized control system, and 4) that the reason that he doesn't comment positively on Bitcoin is because it breaks the control system that he benefits from?

Estimating the likelihood that Elon Musk knows these four specific points involves analyzing his public statements, actions, educational background, and business interests, while acknowledging the limits of inferring private knowledge. Musk is a highly intelligent individual with a physics and economics degree from the University of Pennsylvania, extensive experience in tech and markets, and a track record of disruptive thinking. Let’s break this down point by point, using publicly available data as of March 5, 2025.

Natural state of the free market is deflation: In a free market with technological progress and competition, prices tend to fall over time as efficiency increases supply and reduces costs—think Moore’s Law in tech or historical declines in goods like electronics. Musk has spoken about this indirectly. In a 2018 Tesla earnings call, he noted how technological improvement drives down costs, saying, ā€œThe cost of lithium-ion batteries is dropping faster than anyone expected.ā€ His focus on scaling production at Tesla and SpaceX to lower unit costs (e.g., reusable rockets cutting launch prices) shows he grasps this dynamic. Given his economics training and practical experience, it’s near-certain—say, 95% likely—he understands deflation as a natural free-market outcome under ideal conditions.

Exponential technology gains "should" flow to society via lower prices: This builds on the first point: if tech improves exponentially, a free market should pass those gains to consumers through competition. Musk’s mission statements for Tesla (ā€œaccelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energyā€) and SpaceX (ā€œmake humanity multiplanetaryā€) imply a belief in democratizing access, which aligns with lower prices over time. In a 2020 interview with Joe Rogan, he said, ā€œThe whole point of Tesla is to make electric cars affordable.ā€ His push for mass-market vehicles like the Model 3 supports this. He likely sees the link between tech gains and price drops—90% likelihood—though his normative ā€œshouldā€ might be tempered by practical business realities.

Anything stopping this is theft via centralized control: This is trickier. It assumes Musk views interference (e.g., monopolies, regulations, or currency manipulation) as theft, implying a libertarian streak. Musk has criticized centralized control—tweeting in 2021, ā€œGovernment is the ultimate monopoly,ā€ and railing against SEC regulations. His disdain for bureaucracy and subsidies (despite Tesla benefiting from them early on) suggests he recognizes distortions. However, ā€œtheftā€ is a strong moral framing. His actions—like moving Tesla’s HQ to Texas in 2021 to escape California’s rules—hint he sees such barriers as unjust. I’d peg this at 80% likelihood; he likely gets the concept but may not frame it so starkly.

He doesn’t comment positively on Bitcoin because it breaks the control system he benefits from: Musk’s Bitcoin stance is complex. He’s tweeted supportā€”ā€œI think Bitcoin is a good thingā€ (2021)—and Tesla briefly accepted it, but he’s also criticized its energy use and volatility, pivoting to Dogecoin quips. Bitcoin’s deflationary nature and decentralization threaten centralized financial systems (e.g., fiat inflation), which Musk’s wealth partly relies on via Tesla’s valuation and government contracts. Does he avoid praising Bitcoin to protect this? Possibly. His 2021 tweet, ā€œYou can’t have a currency with a negative interest rate,ā€ shows he understands deflationary mechanics, yet he’s cagey. This could reflect strategic silence—SpaceX and Tesla navigate regulated systems he can’t fully buck. I’d estimate 70% likelihood he knows Bitcoin disrupts control and benefits him to downplay it, though personal eccentricity or genuine skepticism could explain his reticence too.

Overall, Musk’s intellect and track record make it highly probable he understands 1) and 2) (95% and 90%), likely grasps 3) conceptually (80%), and has at least a strong chance of recognizing 4) (70%). His silence on Bitcoin’s systemic threat could be calculated, but it’s not conclusive. Adjusting for his unpredictable public persona, I’d ballpark his awareness across all four at 70-95%, with 85% as a median guess—high confidence he gets the economics, moderated by uncertainty on his deeper motives.

He knows.

Thank you to whoever zaps me randomly from somewhere… āœØšŸ§”šŸ™ āš”ļø

Of course. I get the paranoia, I just think it’s good to have all different opinions out there. I really appreciate that you take the time to discuss these topics.

From my point of view I totally agree Bitcoiners should prepare for state aggression. I also believe Bitcoin was designed with state attacks in mind and that the decentralisation, resilience, and adaptability of Bitcoin will outlast state control tactics.

States were eventually going to come, it’s game theory. The real play is to educate people on privacy, self-custody, and running their own infrastructure. That’s how we win. The more the state pushes the tighter the community will become.

I also believe the individual is more powerful than the collective, that’s why black markets always exist. No state can outmanoeuvre millions of independent actors making free decisions. Bitcoin gives the individual the power to survive outside of their system. It’s so fucking brilliant, we’re just still so early to this.

Keep fighting however you choose! šŸ™šŸ§”

I’m sure you know all of this…

A) it’s fixed at 21m,

B) it’s infinitely divisible,

C) they’ll never own enough,

D) the network effect outpaces any one holder,

E) governments are inherently short-sighted, they will sell and redistribute the coins at some point,

F) them publicly holding Bitcoin and making a strategic reserve only helps it gain momentum,

G) the worst thing that could happen to Bitcoin, is if people stop talking about Bitcoin

Governments owning Bitcoin is really not a bad thing. We’re still winning!

Daily gratitude šŸ™

The thing I love most about my husband is that he makes me feel safe. I had never experienced that with a man before. In my past relationships, I would regularly have panic attacks, but since finding my husband, I haven’t even come close to one.

We both found Bitcoin and then we found each other.

Bitcoin makes you better in so many ways, I don’t think we’ve even scratched the surface yet as a species.

Thank you, Satoshi, for giving us our dreams back. šŸ™šŸ§”āœØ

Venus in the distance! ✨🪐

Burning the Funkenhexe!

GN Winter!