Avatar
BTC_Behaviorist
4bda8a0e7e2e4035bc04b6675ed6be5a9f0a2d37a32f97eafd228da2f0aaec7e
Behavioral psychology and other stuff.

You have probably seen other versions of this concept. Just decided to do my own. Nothing stops this train.

This is more like a metaphor for academics that mistake their lack of mundane knowledge for superiority.

That's nowhere near my stack, unfortunately. Would be possible though if I had more reliable remote-work opportunities. A social network of some kind is also needed – otherwise one will probably end up dead in a ditch somewhere as "that naive tourist".

That's the problem. I don't know.

One of the missing components in teaching today is fluency. Assessing any skill with just percent correct is a mistake. This video explains why. It gets a little technical at times, and the first part is mostly history. However, I think it's worth the watch: https://youtu.be/PjwWZP726Ko?list=PLuQRRtTr10Mm1QycJLUjowBFugi7lg0c7

Replying to Avatar less

For your reference:

This is the 100-year chart of the S&P 500 in #gold terms that I allude to in my recent interview with nostr:nprofile1qyx8wumn8ghj7cnjvghxjmcpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqgq73kpcjhhrptf9gnd9qksu3k2nxr09tusez8ltmk8z9x4h6wdavuwmfgqg

This "30,000 foot view" of the secular peaks and troughs of US asset financialization is incredibly telling... and critical to grasp.

History does not repeat... but it does rhyme.

Based on this chart, I think the closest correlate with where we are in the current cycle is approximately 4Q 1972.

Question:

If, in 4Q 1972, you could invest for the ensuing 10 years in either:

- US financial assets (including stocks, bonds, and real estate)

OR

- International equities and hard assets (including bitcoin and gold)

...which would you choose?

I'm not telling anyone what to do. But I am encouraging you to consider where we are--economically-speaking--and, importantly, where we are headed.

Onward and upward.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpduedsvruqmd7fuq99zmszaaezct7kt3ke3p4p4lx45uxvs30uraqyt8wumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgtcpz9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejj7qgnwaehxw309ahkvenrdpskjm3wwp6kytcqyr3d7nm7xza893e2hn0xezhu93vwgv3mdgsyskdfgq6j33jqhq27c52h4uk

Made this chart recently. Also, a 30,000 foot type of view. (USD on the y-axis.) What I find crazy is that before 1940, for about 60 years, the S&P500 and CSHPNI had no larger growth than about x1.1 every 5 years. We live in a different era.

Been going to a Catholic church for the last six months or so. This was unthinkable 5 or 10 years ago. I've been an atheist all my life, but now considering converting. It's a slow process though.

I've been wondering about that, but I couldn't find any conclusive evidence.

Would you say that the software engineer profession will still continue in some shape or form?

Two possible solutions: 1) become a hermit, 2) exposure therapy.

Added Case Shiller Home Price Nominal Index (CSHPNI) and M2 growth to my chart. Data points are medians.

Fedora. But probably switching back to something Debian-based soon.

Made a diagram with a FOSS GUI tool I wrote. Perhaps someone other than me might also enjoy just looking at it and contemplating the era we live in. Open to suggestions for other events that could be marked or additional data series that would fit in the context. It's also possible to switch it to 'per month' if someone wants to look more closely at a specific time period.