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ynniv
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epistemological anarchist follow the iwakan scale things

AGI by 2028 should be the only thing people talk about. I think it isn't because people don't believe it will happen, and 2028 sounds far away.

Not being a well known pundit and having little to lose, I give you my two sats: when used to its potential, Claude 3.5 Sonnet (New) is almost indistinguishable from AGI today.

We could debate the hard requirements of AGI means, but that would only support how far AI has come in the last few years. So here's my counterbalance to "AGI might happen in 2028, if it ever happens":

AGI will happen in 2025

Find a way to be in top of it, in order to avoid being underneath it. What if I'm off by a year? Well, at least you'll be prepared for 2026. If this sounds absurd you aren't using AI anywhere near its current potential.

If Claude isn't blowing your mind, you aren't using it right.

#Claude

Better than most other options, but there has consistently been a 2% increase in supply annually. We need to aim for even more ounces!

This happens with residential heating units as well. Modern combustion systems are so good at recycling heat that the exhaust is too cold to rise and dissipate before the water begins condensing. There are also scrubbing systems that remove pollutants by spraying even more water into the exhaust, so the humidity is very high.

> The first version is basically telling the CPU: "Hey, I'm going to read this memory in order, you can prefetch the next cache line." While the second is more like: "Surprise! We're jumping to a random memory location! Again! And again!"

> It's amazing how many performance problems boil down to "stop making the CPU cache sad" 😆​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

See? The AI gets it

Damn, I asked Claude to "ELI-undergrad" something and it replied with:

"Let me explain [it] in a way that I wish someone had explained it to me when I was learning it."

#Claude

Governance is not a simple idea, so there are no simple answers. Yes, taking the meme literally is not the best way to understand the realities of our situation. Taxes are an inevitable part of cooperative society. You could try to exist outside of this, but now you also need a military, trade agreements, internal governance... and you've arrived back at cooperative society.

It seems impossible to avoid "taxes", so a better angle would have an opinion on how they would work better. You also need some way to deciding how to run this cooperative agreement, which brings you into theory of government and basis of power. It's easiest to say that one dollar is one vote, but people with fewer dollars won't want to participate in that system. So you set up democracy so they feel like equals. They're not, but it's better than pointing out who's actually responsible for the state of the world.

Soon they realize that democracy is a facade and dollars are power, so they try to redistribute the wealth in order to stabilize the social fabric. The wealthy don't want their wealth dissipated, and they push back by convincing voters that this thing they will benefit from isn't in their interest. You can see how this is going to vacillate.

Which is how you arrive at the traditional strategy of old money: staying humble and stacking sats.

Taken literally, there's only one group here that's confused.

This is going to sound backwards, but I had a RAK4631 starter kit from a conference and I had Claude walk me through adding a feature to the firmware. It only takes a couple hours and then you're up to speed. I also have a Station G2 which you just plug in and run the app. It's a fun platform.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

One of the things I’ve been thinking about a lot lately is non-traditional story structures.

(Spoilers for The Matrix, Sicario, and John Wick if you haven’t seen them by now…)

A good example of a traditional story structure is The Matrix. It’s a typical three-act structure with an underdog protagonist who explores a whole new world, powers up via his mentor, and then takes down the stronger villain and gets the girl. But it’s more creative and better executed than most. Top shelf stuff.

In contrast, a movie like Sicario is less traditional. We mostly follow the story from the protagonist’s perspective. But then toward the end, she basically gets defeated and her worldview is invalidated. And then a supporting character, like a dark anti-hero type, kind of takes over as the main character for the final 20 minutes of the film. It’s quite highly rated and very good, but that kind of structure can be risky because the protagonist that we've come to care for goes through an anti-climactic and unhappy ending, with the dark/cynical side winning over the light/optimistic side. And it’s not even as simple as “villains win”, but rather, the anti-hero kind of takes over as the main character and defeats villains in the original protagonist's place, so we have partial "protagonist rotation", where a supporting character kind of ends as the main character. It’s a higher difficulty level to land that type of ending because the viewer is like, “Damn. I mean amazing too, but damn.”

A less complex example of a non-traditional structure is John Wick. It’s an action movie, one of the better ones for its genre, but the non-traditional element is that we know from the start that the protagonist John Wick is the biggest badass around. None of the villains are as strong as him individually, or even close really. The villains are the underdogs. And so to make that non-boring (“John Wick just kills everyone and wins easily”), it requires things like greater numbers of villains, and/or various schemes to surprise or outsmart the protagonist. It’s also a little harder to stick the landing because the climax can be less satisfying if you know from the start that the protagonist is stronger than the antagonist, and so it either needs emotional depth, complex situations, or other ways to make that ending satisfying.

I’ve been exploring some of these and thinking about it a lot because my novel has a number of these types of non-traditional elements, which elevates the difficulty in terms of making them satisfying despite going against the basic structure that people expect as a baseline.

Are there books, shows, or movies you like that go through rather non-traditional story structures?

I don't remember whether it satisfies your narrative interests, but it seems like the right moment to read Cats Cradle.

If you think on-chain transactions are slow, try moving GBTC between custodians 🙄

This is why I have a hard time leaving the Apple ecosystem. It's has plenty of flaws, but weak protections isn't one is them. Are there any other consumer systems with seL4-grade firmware?