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Bitcoin mining, custody, & memes 🫡. Advisor PRTI ⛏️. Energy, carbon & economic dev policy. Volunteer firefighter 🚒

Sorry, you're right, Abu Dhabi soverign wealth fund is a state one, as UAE doesnt have a sovereign wealth fund, no edits allowed :(

Has the government confirmed it?

Five sovereign nations have revealed they're mining Bitcoin:

- El Salvador

- Bhutan

- Oman

- UAE

- Ethiopia

Who's next?

Wake up babe, new Bitcoin FUD dropped... & it's sus: Wood Mackenzie thinks miners raise the cost of power:

Never mind that ERCOT staff have highlighted the potential benefits of bitcoin mining wrt power costs for consumers; Brad Jones, who managed ERCOT, has stated, "Bitcoin mining has helped keep prices low for all Texans". The experts must be wrong 🤷🏼‍♀️

As a former energy regulator myself who worked on residential & industrial electricity pricing in Canada, here's my perspective on why miners are more likely to have a beneficial cost impact

An electricity grid requires 3 key infrastructure pieces: generation, transmission (tx), distribution (dx) - infra that is capital intensive. These are paid for by ratepayers overtime, & sometimes taxpayers (eg nuclear in Ontario was amortized over decades by both)

Generation infrastructure is overbuilt in the sense that it has to be sufficient to meet peak demand (eg consumers running AC on hottest days). For much of the time, only some generation is running & it's the the cheapest sources and/or those that take a long time to ramp up (eg a nuclear reactor cold start can take a few days). Generation sources come online during higher demand periods typically in order of the cheapest (marginal cost of power for renewables tends to be cheap) to most expensive (eg fossil sources where theres a commodity cost for power)

Often our North American grids have a marketplace & price bidding in place to ramp up generation. If there are price sensitive large loads that can turn off on a dime during peak hours, then we don't need to overbuild the system for peak demand because they can shut off vs expensive sources turning on to balance supply & demand

What makes bitcoin miners unique loads (ie consumers) is they can act like a virtual power plant by shutting off within seconds at peak events. This is very different from traditional industries that are limited on how fast or long they can shut down for (eg you don't want to spoil a batch of steel or chemicals), or trad data centers whose customers require their data to be on & available at all times. Miners are also more electricity cost sensitive because they're in an ultra competitive industry & they can shut down during high prices (when more expensive sources come online)

So if miners use 2GW in Texas, it doesn't need to build 2 extra GW for miners because there is spare in the system if they shut down - like a virtual power plant that can come online & provide 2GW

The electricity system has costs all ratepayers need to pay: generation + transmission + distribution + regulator/system operator costs (ie costs of managing the system). If there are new loads that come in & can operate in such a way that don't increase peak demand, then the system will not require new costly infrastructure. And we know miners will not want to mine at high marginal costs of the next MW

Further, such large loads will contribute to paying down existing infrastructure costs (being amortized) & other system fees, which means that all other ratepayers will not need to pay as much - as these costs are being spread out over more electricity consumers!

Lastly, miners are co-locating in Texas next to transmission constrained renewables - ie there's not enough tx capacity to get the power (that's located in an optimal generation site) to load centers like far away large cities. So miners in fact subsidize generation until tx is built out: the renewable power is stranded until it's connected to large loads

Thus, one cannot assume that 2GW of miners will need 2GW of new gen, just as it's wrong to discount the impact miners have wrt helping paying for system infra. So at minimum Wood Mackenzie needs to show their work, but likely go back to the drawing board wrt how miners operate irl (vs an economic model based on trad industries)

Lastly, 👆🏻 is a simplification of a complex system, but at a high level it explains how miners are able to lower costs for both ratepayers & taxpayers & benefit modern grids

Finally, I'd be remiss if I didn't share a key paper examining miner impact on ERCOT grid: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4634256

And Daniel Batten compiled other notable papers: https://twitter.com/DSBatten/status/1756960322295074843?t=Bd2kukIVlFAZJTMSHOy33A&s=19

Sorry, missed this. Nope, no zap from Alby showing up on Damus

The best seat in the house!

The unfortunate effect of rampant money printing in Canada - tradfi investors try to protect themselves w/ real estate while first time home buyers are priced out due to asset inflatiom

Mr. 100 is speed running Saylor buys 👀

Replying to Avatar Avi Burra

Nostriches, I need your help: I’m moderating a panel at nostr:npub167n5w6cj2wseqtmk26zllc7n28uv9c4vw28k2kht206vnghe5a7stgzu3r next month that will take a critical look at the current state of nostr development and potential areas for improvement, and I want to make it a pleb-sourced effort.

Reply below with your nostr criticisms and areas for improvement and I will pick the ten best ones to pose to the panelists.

nostr:npub1j8y6tcdfw3q3f3h794s6un0gyc5742s0k5h5s2yqj0r70cpklqeqjavrvg nostr:npub18ams6ewn5aj2n3wt2qawzglx9mr4nzksxhvrdc4gzrecw7n5tvjqctp424 nostr:npub1g53mukxnjkcmr94fhryzkqutdz2ukq4ks0gvy5af25rgmwsl4ngq43drvk

Fear of governments will reverse the trend between developed & developing countries, where we will lose access to free & open banking & developing countries will thrive w/ companies building on Bitcoin

Mental heath is the big challenge to beat there, solve for that and you will take a large % off of the streets

Plan your exit.

Do you have a Plan ₿?

Just because you don't need privacy today, doesn't mean you won't in the future

You may want to protest like 🇨🇦 truckers. You may want to obfuscate what cause you donate to. You may want to run against an authoritarian incumbent

You may need a plan B, let's hope it's there & that enough fight for it

I liked your tip 🫡

clCould custodial lightning providers be targeted like Samorai, as they obfuscate money transfer between individuals & add in a measure of privacy, in effect acting as a mixing service?

Privacy is a human right