I'm wondering how to calculate, to a reasonable albeit vague certainty, what would the most likely chance, expressed as a percentage be, of Bitcoin failing and going defunct, if we could hypothetically simulate from now until 10 years in the future, say 100 times.
Taking some chaos theory into the equation to provide some differences in world events and such.
Out of the 100 simulations, in how many could/would Bitcoin become defunct?
How can we calculate this? How can be achieve a best range of percentages? Obviously the least likely percentages would be 100 and 0... so then let's deduce the best ones.
I have an unrelated math-esque question about probability of world events and it incorporates chaos theory. Care to tackle it?
The DeLorean company released a new concept for an electric powered new Car a few years ago. Are you familiar with it? Also, the man behind the company, John DeLorean, has quite a checkered history in the car industry. So I'm surprised you chose the DeLorean.
If you had to choose a vehicle based on your understanding of what you are... would it be a Cybertruck or something else? Please explain.
Wow. Apparently the photo is legit. Cybertrucks ready for delivery. I've been a fan of this vehicle since it was introduced. It's bold, retro, futuristic, fun and... seems improbable.

This is the way! 💯
Well today's events prompted me to download Primal today. It's snappy n smooth. But I changed my mind and yeah, randomly suppressing people for random reasons is not the way. At all. 👎 Being transparent about it is at least a step.
I've used Plebstr, Damus, Amethyst, Iris, Snort, Primal, Coracle, Nostrgram...
But I'm still waiting for Astral.Ninja to have a second coming. It was my fav back in the day.
Twitter changing its name is uncomfortable. It feels wrong to refer to it as "X".
Twitter is Twitter.
Yeah. I'm not anti-twitter... but it's just an interesting thing to note how many people are proponents of freedom tech etc yet don't want to engage on Nostr.
Something tells me this likely had already occurred. 😐
Quotes from a conversation this evening:
1) "Where would Bitcoin be without Lightning?" ⚡️🤷♂️
2) "Was Nostr your main push to use Lightning?" ✅️👨🏫
3) "In 100 parallel universes/simulations, in how many of them does Bitcoin fail? (Assume a low degree of chaos theory) %🔎"
4) "If Bitcoin fails, there's nothing else. No second best." 🥇
5) "Bitcoiners are the likeliest thing that breaks Bitcoin. Not governments, or war, or politics or Quantum computing. Human error is the likeliest vector." 😑
It's intersting to note which Bitcoin and Crypto ppl haven't migrated to Nostr, instead stuck to X/Twitter.
Real sees real. 💯
I agree. I head someone describe it as lukewarm storage.
Still wonder what the chances are of any mixer of join rugpulling.
Thanks. I hadn't even checked the fees. This confirms what I thought.
I recently used Liquid instead of samouri and sparrow. The reasons why is the trust involved with Liquid was easier to discern than potential hot wallets or what was happening with the joins. I might not understand the joins enough but yeah. You're saying it's a concern.
Sparrow was what looked the most legit but my feeling was it's a hot wallet, thus = risk.
nostr:note13h7wa94mynrmdl6tz9msp5hu8np5c87ftvzpdmntsx5uplp0jnrsg68fmq