I've vibe coded almost a dozen weekend projects this year and with every single one, I've done something I've never tried before. Whether it's developing for a wholly new platform, using a completely new JavaScript framework, or accessing hardware APIs I have zero experience with.

It's incredible how much you can learn by fully submitting to the vibe. Instead of spending days researching the tools I'd like to use, I'm just using them. In the process, I'm learning new things every single day. The learning experience is much more intense than it has ever been in my rather long coding career.

I've never learned as much about programming as I did in the last year. Insane. If this isn't the singularity, I don't know what is.

Hal Finney, 2009: If #Bitcoin succeeds, each coin could be worth $10 million.

The man running the first node saw farther than most ever will.

Bella Roma! But it's hot 🥵 happy Sunday! GM, PV 🌞 #gm

GM! ☕ The half-year goals were a great success! 😎

GM! ☕ Please say it back! 😎

Understanding Bitcoin Cycles and Accumulation Strategy

The Context of the Viral Tweet

There's currently a tweet circulating widely in the Bitcoin community that essentially says you need to buy 0.1 Bitcoin before countries start printing money massively to buy Bitcoin against each other. This idea is based on a theory that nation-states will soon enter a monetary arms race to accumulate Bitcoin.

The main argument is that governments will create massive amounts of fiat currency like dollars or euros to buy Bitcoin before their competitors. This excessive money creation would devalue their national currencies but allow them to acquire more Bitcoin. Some countries like El Salvador have already adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, and US states as well as other nations are studying the creation of strategic Bitcoin reserves.

Why 0.1 Bitcoin is Considered Significant

The figure of 0.1 Bitcoin is not chosen randomly. There will be a maximum of 21 million Bitcoin that will ever exist. This means that only 2.1 million people in the world will ever be able to own 0.1 Bitcoin or more. When we know there are about 8 billion humans on Earth, this represents only 0.026% of the world population.

This mathematical scarcity is what drives some to think that 0.1 Bitcoin could represent a fortune in the future if Bitcoin truly becomes a global store of value massively adopted by states and institutions. In this scenario, 0.1 Bitcoin could represent enormous purchasing power.

The Reality of Current Prices

Today, Bitcoin trades around $107,000, which means 0.1 Bitcoin costs about $10,700. For many people in developed countries, this amount represents a few months of savings, the price of a used car, or less than a down payment for real estate in most major cities. It's still accessible for a middle class that saves regularly.

However, experts predict much higher prices for Bitcoin. Some analysts forecast that Bitcoin could reach $200,000 by 2025, while firms like ARK Invest project prices between $300,000 and $1.5 million by 2030. In these scenarios, 0.1 Bitcoin would be worth between $20,000 and $150,000.

The Perspective of Experienced Investors

For those who have been investing in Bitcoin for a few years, the situation is different. People who bought Bitcoin between 2020 and 2021 at prices around $20,000 to $30,000 now see their investment worth $107,000. For them, accumulating 0.1 Bitcoin might represent a few weeks of gains, not months of difficult saving.

These experienced investors also know the history of Bitcoin cycles. During the last bear market, Bitcoin fell from its all-time high of about $69,000 at the end of 2021 down to about $15,000 to $16,000 in 2022, a 77% drop. This massive correction allowed those who were patient to buy Bitcoin at much more advantageous prices.

The Question of Traditional Cycles

The big debate today is whether these traditional Bitcoin cycles are broken or will continue. On one side, there are arguments to think something has changed. Institutional Bitcoin exchange-traded funds create constant and less volatile flows. National strategic reserves are becoming reality with countries like El Salvador adopting Bitcoin. Institutional investment behavior is different from retail, with less panic selling.

On the other hand, cyclical fundamentals remain present. Human nature with its phases of euphoria and panic doesn't change. Macroeconomic corrections affect all risky assets, and Bitcoin still remains correlated to stock markets in significant stress situations. Financial history shows that when everyone says this time is different, it often ends badly.

The Waiting Strategy

A prudent approach consists of waiting for a correction before accumulating Bitcoin massively. Even if institutional adoption probably creates a higher floor than before, there will probably still be significant corrections. Instead of 80% drops, we could see 50% to 60% corrections. Instead of falling to $15,000, Bitcoin could stay above $40,000 to $50,000.

If this analysis is correct, a correction from the current level of $107,000 could bring Bitcoin back to $20,000 to $30,000. In this case, 0.1 Bitcoin would cost $2,000 to $3,000 instead of $10,700 today. This represents a much more attractive accumulation opportunity.

The Main Lesson

Patience is often rewarded in cryptocurrency markets. Those who buy at the top out of fear of missing an opportunity often find themselves in an unfavorable position. Experienced investors know it's better to wait for good market conditions rather than give in to social pressure or fear of missing the train.

Even in the most optimistic scenario where Bitcoin becomes a global store of value, there will be plenty of time to accumulate at more reasonable prices. Institutional cycles are generally slower than retail cycles, and investment opportunities don't disappear overnight.

The important thing is to understand that Bitcoin remains a volatile and cyclical asset, even with growing institutional adoption. A progressive accumulation strategy during periods of weakness probably remains wiser than an impulsive purchase during market peaks.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Investing #HODL

Having something worth living for > having something worth dying for

Haters will say it’s AI

(this is real photo of our haul from the farmer’s market)

#Foodstr #photostr

Glastonbury lineup looks average. Want to watch a masterclass? Watch Bowie headline Glastonbury in 2000. Legendary 🔥

Spend more time with your kids.

You'll never regret it.

I mixed and rendered my last 8m programming YouTube video In a Peugeot passenger seat, in an Aldi carpark.

#ratemyworkstation

Not your keys no more car

Something happed in my hood

last night

#kreuzberg

You know when you find yourself at an after after party. Sitting about on the floor. And there's a beer soaked patch on the carpet which you keep accidentally putting your hand in. You've crushed up the last pills to snort, turned the baggies inside out. It's all wearing off. Reality is crashing in. Everyone's gone silent and weirdly introverted, thinking about what a mess their life is, dwelling on horrible memories. Someone says they're going to the shops, but you can't even be arsed speaking to this stranger to say you want a diet coke, even tho only hours ago you were enthusiastically talking to them about, something or other. Besides you don't even know their name. And how the fuck are you going to get home.

That's what it's like to use nostr.

SQUID GAME went full retard & I’m ok with that.

I love those kidney & eyeball stealing Koreans.

This is how I use Nostr

Glad you enjoy it?

Thank you! Hope you had a great day too!

Flower of the day: Fever Few ‘Tetra White Wonder’ #flowers #nostr #bitcoin

Wife and I snapped all the beans we picked this morning and canned one batch of 7 quarts before the heat ran us indoors to the A/C. It was a hot one in the canning shop and this heat and recent rains have really made the beans kick into overdrive! Will get another 14 quarts from these. There will be more to pick in a few days.

A tiny piece of heaven

Keeping it simple

Enjoy!

GM! #nostr #Bitcoin #coffeechain #plebchain #grownostr

GM #nostr

Good morning! 🫂💜 GM! 🇦🇷 ☀️

Have a wonderful and blessed day!! 🙌

(Ignore my hashtags)

#zbdinternetcitizen #plebchain #donate #zbd #nostrplebs #donation #fundraiser #grownostr #fundraising #pepethon #nostriches #zbdsocial #plebstr #eurothon #zapathon #nostrich #zbdmagic #arg #bsas #ba

GM from the npug

GM Nostr ☀️ Have a beautiful day! Remember, create the life you want to live!

#grownostr #bitcoin #freedom #mothernature #plebchain #wethriving

GM Team bitcoin 🫡

Germany.

100 years ago.

Slaves worked.

Slaves saved.

Slaves obeyed.

Then…

BOOM.

Entire life savings turned to toilet paper.

Different century now.

Same fiat disease.

Same cure.

Scarce money.

Available now 🧡.

Study the past.

Stack the future.

Live free.

Fiat dies. Bitcoin runs.

Ticktock next block ⛏️

Timestamp of freedom 902,922

Good morning

😋

#EnjoyingWeekend

Thank you, good morning to you too!

Yo #nostr

Have a fantastic day!

Remember to have fun with family and friends. Make memories!

#bitcoin

Gm

#gm #NALC

#GM #Frens and #Happy #Coffee ☕ #Friday #Nostr #RossUlbrichtIsFree #God #Trump #Prayer #Catholic 🇻🇦⛪ #USA 🇺🇲 #Bitcoin #Coffee #Zap #CoffeeChain #BTC #JulianAssangeIsFree 🔥