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El Guiri
9da75b1f4e3f5ac9779ebecd27ca8032b2632389e1f00e8f9eb5ecd40f24dc6d
Geologist and nature lover

Head out Wednesday, weather permitting. We’ve had 430mm rain so far this week. Lots of the usual flooding and stuff. Will see. 🤞

Found it. Look up the finite mixture model. It's a question of trend analysis. To be honest, I didn't even bother. I just found data from both electionsand compared numbers. It's way to blatant so moved on. I saw couple of articles recently with finite mixture on Georgia elections. Did not look encouraging

Better from people who know how to explain things. Am awful. I'll try to find some of the summary papers on looking at election stats. These an amazing guy frpm I think stanford who shows how to really do it properly. Should be easy to find as always trotted out when Putin gets elected and was cancelled on last us election. I honestly am not great at maths but I know how to download data and ask simple questions. First one is where do 19m people disappear to. Start looking through from there. I'll try to find one of the pubs on doing this stuff properly

I really should stay clear of this thread but will just make one little comment. Do as you wish with it. One of the main thing to come out of this election for someone like me who spends life immersed in data is the numbers and not just totals but by states. I care not for lawyers or rhetoric from either side, it's distraction from an issue. The numbers demonstrate an extremely high probability of massive corruption in the previous election. If you'd believe that, drop the media or social media, download some data and have a play yourself. The last election was a total fraud.

Any partisan position on this is infantile:

For dems, if you don't admit to reality and assist in fixing this, it could be done in future by the other side.

For reps, you might despise the idea that the last election was a cheat but you'd not benefit from it being done in future the other way around.

Y'all need to get together, bury the hatchet, admit to some blunt numerical facts and work to fix this so you can all have a little more faith in each other, regardless which direction wins.

It’s a question of classification. For example, if I define a blade of grass as a target…

The sad thing is that there’s always a pendulum effect as emotions take over. This militant, combative and non collaborative attitude by extremist feminists will simply end up resulting in misogynism and make life harder for everyone. The most important thing here is to ignore and not react or approach in a steadfast manner whilst trying to engage a little. Am certainly not suggesting that engagement with such dogma is easy or necessarily possible. Seems to be hard for many to simply celebrate masculinity and femininity for some reason

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Another little hack. If it's not a date as such but an occasion. If there's a new restaurant just opened with lots of fanfare, get her friends to go without telling her. Then ask her to choose where to go and hope to fuck it works! If it does, big win!

Matthew Crawford had best hypothesis take on this that I have head. Take a look at his round the earth podcast. If you can't find the right episode, let me know and I'll give it a shot. Was last year sometime and never kept the link

Interesting. Did not know that. Weird

Is America the only nation where private press corporations call election results?

#asknostr

For sure. But there's an absolutely astronomical amount of dumb out there and from a self preservation perspective, best to keep that in mind! My favourite today was the chap stopped on a blind hairpin bend chatting to his friend who was cycling by. Admittedly, if comparing to Harris, this guy actually got to the bend, thus demonstrating an ability to drive. So many types of dumb really. Sigh