Profile: 9e9374ab...
I enjoy this account but you're posting every two minutes and clogging my feed. May need to slow the cadence.
Flanderization sets in.
The pain is not so bad when you've held through a couple cycles
Sounds awful, switch to Linux if you can
To crack a single key using Shor's algorithm would require about $30k in energy with tens of megawatts continuously needed using estimates extrapolated from today's capacity. It would take 30 minutes to 8 hours with around 2500 logical qubits (estimated requirement to crack a key).
Those 2,500 logical qubits require approximately 13 million physical qubits due to error correction overhead. Current quantum computers only have 100-2,000 physical qubits. We're roughly four orders of magnitude away from this capability.
The most powerful quantum computers today have a bit more than 1000 physical qubits, and about 12 logical qubits. Physical qubits are doubling every 9-12 months.
Major companies project:
IBM: 100,000 physical qubits by 2033; 2,000 qubits by 2029
Google: Fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029
Quantinuum: Fault-tolerant system with 1,000+ logical qubits by 2030
Fujitsu/RIKEN: 1,000 physical qubits by 2026
So they think we're still a half decade from being two+ orders of magnitude away from BTC being at risk. If it moves quickly we might see this around 2031-2034. A more pessimistic growth ramp puts it closer to 2040. Whoever does it will need to invest a ton of money into the computers and energy needed to crack each individual key. There will only be a few computers in the world able to do this initially and it's unlikely they'd use those resources to crack Bitcoin keys.
Why are people suddenly complaining about this now?
Oh no! Political diversity as a result of democratic elections! Everybody panic!
Jack is a scion of a fiat elite family. Not that that's a bad thing and I don't know his exact situation but Strike customers should know where he comes from
With my setup I can perform the work of three full time domain expert engineers simultaneously while still holding down my salary work pretty easily. I can't imagine what this will feel like when I can do the work of a hundred or thousand engineers while I sip coffee on my porch.
Was the liquidation cascade yesterday a bullet to the heart or a starting gun? Seems like these events are usually one or the other. The black swan-ish nature of this one reminds me of the covid drop. Different part of the cycle especially since we're knocking on ATHs and historical cycles rolled over around this point but I am hopeful, or maybe just at peace with my portfolio (despite the drawdowns in my degen account). The barbell strategy works...
Not much value left in the Twitter feed. Very little. More danger in frying your brain on For You than value from signal, honestly. It's all posturing and bots.
We are alarmed by reports that Germany is on the verge of a catastrophic about-face, reversing its longstanding and principled opposition to the EUâs Chat Control proposal which, if passed, could spell the end of the right to privacy in Europe. https://signal.org/blog/pdfs/germany-chat-control.pdf
Preparing for war lockdowns unfortunately
The money printer is behind it but they money they printed is still out there and the money printer is warming up again.
There was a lot of "they" in this episode but I didn't hear a definition of who "they" are. Broadly labeling an entire political party as murderers is about the worst way to prevent violence in our current situation. At least pin it to deep state international intelligence/military industrial complex.
If you didn't see this coming you've been ignoring an important chunk of media
I found a DCA strategy that accumulated 22% more BTC over straight DCA when back tested on the last 3 years (40% over 12 years). Intriguing
US buying Intel gives US incentive to protect Intel against potential competitors, even those that emerge from the US. US incentive is then to prioritize a dinosaur
No pain no gain. We have duties outside ourselves and families too - things no one else will do that can reduce suffering broadly. Just make sure you're spending time wisely
Not to mention "America needs a dictatorial CEO" Curtis Yarvins
I agree with all of this, but we as developers should expect requirements gathering, architecture, planning etc to be increasingly aided by AI to the point that fewer engineers/managers are needed to oversee ambitious projects. We've gone from effectively no AI to PhD-level intelligence (in some respects) in five years or so, and AI is now recursively improving itself faster than humans can do it. We are in for big changes in our day to day and need to be cognizant that our skills today won't be as valuable tomorrow, and will remain in decline for the foreseeable future.
There are a lot of poor coders out there that don't surface in the famous companies. But it may be more appropriate to say it's better than 80-90% or people (or higher) at coding, which is also a significant achievement.
Soldiers were circumcised during the war to avoid terrible dick diseases in the trenches. When they came home they wanted their sons to avoid having to be cut as adults potentially in WWIII so they started circumcising them as babies in large scale. Now we haven't had trench warfare in generations and circumcising is just absurd.