Avatar
less
b7996c183e036df27802945b80bbdc8b0bf5971b6621a86bf3569c332117f07d
Through Jesus Christ: Do justice. Love mercy. Walk humbly with your God. - Micah 6:8

I’m not sure who needs to hear this today, but the #bitcoin bull market hasn’t even started yet.

Instead of fixating on price, I suggest the following:

- Head down

- Work hard

- Stack sats (while they’re still super cheap)

Dr. Bullcrab, actually.

GM.

I don’t disagree with you and almost added that to the post as well. But I still favor the China ban (and resultant 50% drop in hash rate) as the primary driver.

Of course, we’ll never know the answer. But it’s fun to speculate.

The upside is that I think—contrary to the 2020-21 bull market—most price predictions will actually be too low. People may not be bullish enough for what’s coming…

I remain of the opinion that the last cycle's ATH was cut short, primarily because of China's ban of #Bitcoin mining... right in the middle of the 2021 parabolic run higher.

Had this not occurred, in my opinion, bitcoin price would have likely reached approximately $125k in November 2021.

In light of this--and compared with past cycles of reaching 50-60% of the prior ATHs at the time of the latest #halving, then it is wouldn't be unreasonable for bitcoin's price to reach 50%-60% of $125k by halving day, or $62,500 to $75,000.

This would crush my current target of $45k, but would make sense, in light of the *abnormal* 2021 bull market.

(Not individual investment advice. Just my opinion. I am almost certainly wrong.)

Replying to nobody

nostr:npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l

Is this the real account or a fake? Has anyone confirmed?

It’s me.

Replying to Avatar Nunya Bidness

CALLING MY FRENS!

I would ask that you follow nostr:npub12pl4h7pk0svg8ug4mhu7a90hn6nf83eqadd94pccgsafn73s392qpt42wq and that you ask your people to follow it as well.

I started this account for my friend Texas Slim because I knew his crew did not have time to do it themselves. nostr was new (still is) at the time and I was already all in and knew how to work the thing. I told Texas Slim I was doing it for those reasons so he is not in the dark on this.

I have only been posting verbatim what TBI's Twitter account has been so as to respect their marketing etc. but the time is coming when I need to turn the keys over to Slim and his producer, June (the posts are beginning to get questions and I am not about to start answering out of turn).

When I turn those keys over I want to place in their hands a freedom account with at least 1000 followers and a rowdy bunch of activity: replies, reposts, and likes. If I turn over an account full of "meh" then the chances it remains as vibrant as it is (585 followers so far) decreases.

The Beef Initiative is something I have been involved with since Texas Slim published The Harvest of Deception: https://producers.beefinitiative.com/blog/the-harvest-of-deception He was the first person I called a friend after I moved to Canyon, Texas and that friendship solidified my passion for soil, ranching, land management and my sense of the sheer Glory of God's Creation.

If you are reading this then hit the Follow button: nostr:npub12pl4h7pk0svg8ug4mhu7a90hn6nf83eqadd94pccgsafn73s392qpt42wq, and make a post asking others to do the same. It don't cost ya nothin'.

Let's build this thing into a major nostr property that the TBI will be proud to take possession of, continue to steward, and help propel the nostr community into the future.

Can I get help from nostr:npub1el3mgvtdjpfntdkwq446pmprpdv85v6rs85zh7dq9gvy7tgx37xs2kl27r (Hellthread Queen -- you know what to do), nostr:npub1qny3tkh0acurzla8x3zy4nhrjz5zd8l9sy9jys09umwng00manysew95gx, nostr:npub1guh5grefa7vkay4ps6udxg8lrqxg2kgr3qh9n4gduxut64nfxq0q9y6hjy, nostr:npub1cjw49ftnxene9wdxujz3tp7zspp0kf862cjud4nm3j2usag6eg2smwj2rh, nostr:npub1jlrs53pkdfjnts29kveljul2sm0actt6n8dxrrzqcersttvcuv3qdjynqn, nostr:npub1rtlqca8r6auyaw5n5h3l5422dm4sry5dzfee4696fqe8s6qgudks7djtfs, nostr:npub10chlkc62tk7yr5m9qjc2u7rs3ufhhrq8yukeey0c5lysqkp2gumq93mnex, nostr:npub1xy54p83r6wnpyhs52xjeztd7qyyeu9ghymz8v66yu8kt3jzx75rqhf3urc, nostr:npub1key55ax33gkl50uqemvl4khrtqrhzm7wzpc7fhseutt5ddkcwcrqgxlt3h, nostr:npub1xtscya34g58tk0z605fvr788k263gsu6cy9x0mhnm87echrgufzsevkk5s, nostr:npub1hu3hdctm5nkzd8gslnyedfr5ddz3z547jqcl5j88g4fame2jd08qh6h8nh, nostr:npub1sg6plzptd64u62a878hep2kev88swjh3tw00gjsfl8f237lmu63q0uf63m, nostr:npub1z4m7gkva6yxgvdyclc7zp0vz4ta0s2d9jh8g83w03tp5vdf3kzdsxana6p, nostr:npub1lrnvvs6z78s9yjqxxr38uyqkmn34lsaxznnqgd877j4z2qej3j5s09qnw5, nostr:npub17u5dneh8qjp43ecfxr6u5e9sjamsmxyuekrg2nlxrrk6nj9rsyrqywt4tp, nostr:npub180cvv07tjdrrgpa0j7j7tmnyl2yr6yr7l8j4s3evf6u64th6gkwsyjh6w6, nostr:npub18ams6ewn5aj2n3wt2qawzglx9mr4nzksxhvrdc4gzrecw7n5tvjqctp424, nostr:npub1dergggklka99wwrs92yz8wdjs952h2ux2ha2ed598ngwu9w7a6fsh9xzpc, nostr:npub1kyeml3tma4su8yw5aru48wgxclchp8zr3kguwhakmtmegjw40zws82sfjk, nostr:npub1aeh2zw4elewy5682lxc6xnlqzjnxksq303gwu2npfaxd49vmde6qcq4nwx, nostr:npub1gcxzte5zlkncx26j68ez60fzkvtkm9e0vrwdcvsjakxf9mu9qewqlfnj5z, nostr:npub1l2vyh47mk2p0qlsku7hg0vn29faehy9hy34ygaclpn66ukqp3afqutajft, nostr:npub12262qa4uhw7u8gdwlgmntqtv7aye8vdcmvszkqwgs0zchel6mz7s6cgrkj nostr:npub1az9xj85cmxv8e9j9y80lvqp97crsqdu2fpu3srwthd99qfu9qsgstam8y8, nostr:npub1ewe0qgak4gykym236t6w4x06jyuw4q8v040lmn5lamude434yqcsz7uqlw, nostr:npub1f5pre6wl6ad87vr4hr5wppqq30sh58m4p33mthnjreh03qadcajs7gwt3z, nostr:npub1t0nyg64g5vwprva52wlcmt7fkdr07v5dr7s35raq9g0xgc0k4xcsedjgqv, nostr:npub1h4lrzqnrne72xj00yl3zzr0k6qn93cqe5g4vvkfechs6mn89mwyqfa2jcm, nostr:npub12u423pq5c6c5gvyzlekk5u9s5ksnyd27yemuvu3l9gpqpcnx545s6f8pyh, nostr:npub1cf3zeytdnwgwzz5pk2ax0vvmmlzad03xcft4d50ejrfhsh8pxcdsefx7gk, nostr:npub135x4y8w7jty24ggvxfm0c4mqaknk2su0fzzmwrgfdfylj6tz3l9qlv5xpr, nostr:npub18678fyrar7fg7gy77ggwsuk2cqe74ull38ng2v5x63werc63a70qw02kgq, nostr:npub1k7vkcxp7qdkly7qzj3dcpw7u3v9lt9cmvcs6s6ln26wrxggh7p7su3c04l, nostr:npub1s5yq6wadwrxde4lhfs56gn64hwzuhnfa6r9mj476r5s4hkunzgzqrs6q7z, nostr:npub1a2cww4kn9wqte4ry70vyfwqyqvpswksna27rtxd8vty6c74era8sdcw83a, nostr:npub1cj8znuztfqkvq89pl8hceph0svvvqk0qay6nydgk9uyq7fhpfsgsqwrz4u, nostr:npub15879mltlln6k8jy32k6xvagmtqx3zhsndchcey8gjyectwldk88sq5kv0n

Thank you,

David Bennett (AKA Nunya Bidness)

#grownostr #plebchain #permaculture

On it.

If it is debt-fueled economic growth, then is it really economic growth?

Is the compounding debt used in the growth calculation?

Should it be?

Discuss.

Few people understand that it's not about investment returns, earnings, or even cash flows.

It's all about purchasing power.

Always has been.

This is part of what makes #Bitcoin so revolutionary.

Sorry guys, but I have to be careful not to give individual investment advice.

Bull markets attract degenerate speculators.

Bear and crab markets attract builders and long-term hodlers.

This is why I say that "bull markets are a distraction."

- Head down

- Work hard

- Stack stats

#Bitcoin

The #Bitcoin monetary network is essentially the inverse of the US dollar monetary network.

While Bitcoin's immutable scarcity means that individual satoshis are "programmed" to increase in value over time, individual US dollars are similarly (but inversely) "programmed" to decrease in purchasing power over time.

Accrual of purchasing power vs monetary debasement.

Programmed. Over time.

One benefits the users. The other benefits the managers.

The choice is yours.

Poor folks talk frequently about taking profits.

Wealthy individuals buy well and rarely sell.

FWIW,

You do you, but I don’t anticipate #bitcoin price action getting exciting again until 3Q 2024.

In the meantime:

- Head down

- Work hard

- Stack sats

Replying to Avatar gladstein

I am thrilled to share my new essay

"Stranded: How Bitcoin is Saving Wasted Energy and Expanding Financial Freedom in Africa"

I was profoundly moved by what I saw on a recent trip to Kenya and Malawi.

If this essay can show you even 1% of what inspired me, that's a win… here’s an overview:

We begin in Bondo, a small town in Malawi, a country where only 11% of the population has access to electricity.

The nation suffers 6-8 hours of blackouts a day, but the power in Bondo is consistent because of Bitcoin mining.

The town got its first electricity in 2016, and now is expanding its grid, thanks to Bitcoin, which is buying 100% of the electricity that the micro-hydro stations cannot sell, and giving precious capital to the power company so it can expand operations.

At night, demand dwindles, and in remote places like Bondo, there’s no one else to buy the consistent hydro power.

Enter Bitcoin, powered by internet services like Starlink. A datacenter from Gridless now saves the wasted energy and is powering the community forward.

The big realization: virtually all power generation, especially in rural places, wastes energy.

Bitcoin fixes this.

We are told Bitcoin is a waste of energy but the truth is the opposite.

NOT Bitcoin mining is a waste of energy.

And the kicker: Bitcoin miners create heat.

This heat will be used for productive uses.

General heating in cold climates, and in a place like Bondo? Drying tea, fruit, or cocoa.

Profit from mining won’t just be profit - cost, it will be (profit + profit from externality) - cost.

For context: Malawi is a country that just suffered an IMF-led 44% currency devaluation.

Already one of the poorest nations in the world, where most people save in cash, now citizens can only afford 56% of what they could a few months ago. Per the IMF, more devaluation is on the way.

The kwacha is a disastrous wage technology. Once again, enter Bitcoin, a vastly superior savings mechanism.

The first Bitcoin meetup is happening in the Malawi’s capital this month. We are very early with adoption in this region—2020 in El Salvador terms—but this adoption will turn from a trickle into a torrent.

Up north in Kenya, Gridless has geothermal mines, too. I visited one.

It’s a remarkable site: a humming hut on the site of a lake with a Starlink on top, eating all of the electricity that a water pump does not use: perfectly solarpunk.

Kenya is the world’s largest exporter of cut flowers. There are tons of sites like this, generating power for irrigation, all over the country. All of them waste energy.

Geothermal is beautifully consistent, but the demand is not. Bitcoin fixes this.

Gridless operations like these are generally profitable within the first two years. Now there's biomass, where the company has just launched data centers at sugar and sisal processing factories which before couldn't find buyers for excess electricity.

But now Bitcoin is buying.

This sounds great so far…

But for the hundreds of millions of Africans who don’t have internet access, how are they supposed to benefit?

Enter KG, whose company Machankura provides Bitcoin access to people with no internet.

This is done through USSD — a SMS-type protocol.

The user texts a number, then gets a decision tree, and can send, receive, barter, and purchase a variety of things, all without data.

This is a custodial service for now — but KG and team have plan to make SIM cards signing devices and even Lightning touch points so that people can self-custody and be their own bank without the internet.

A true civilizational leap forward.

Critical: there are 700 million women in Africa, but very very few use Bitcoin.

Marcel Lorraine aims to change that.

A Kenyan entrepreneur who has fearlessly helping schools in Kibera, two years ago she launched Bitcoin Dada, a program to educate women and girls about Bitcoin.

Marcel runs classes every week, with several cohorts per year.

The task is huge but she insists on pushing forward.

She argues Bitcoin can give macro freedom for communities and countries, yes, but also micro freedom at home for women who traditionally take a back seat in finance.

Finally: independence from dependence is a key concept

Femi Longe, director of BTrust Builders, is trying to make that happen.

He’s running a program to train African developers and help them contribute to Bitcoin, to take careers in the industry or become contributors to core.

As Jack Dorsey says, if Bitcoin is going to be used around the world, it has to be made around the world.

Femi refuses to accept a future like today, where cars are made in the West and bought by Africans.

The Bitcoin infrastructure needs to be made in Africa.

The way these pieces could fit together is astonishing.

Unlike in the West, where adoption might mean centralized pools and ETFs, in Africa adoption will mean off-grid mining and potentially millions of self-custodying users, powered by SIM cards.

Africans need Bitcoin, yes.

But Bitcoin needs Africa.

That was blazing clear from my visit last month.

At the end of the day, who is going to help bring electricity and high-quality currency — the building blocks of progress — to hundreds of millions of Africans?

Bill Gates? The UN? The World Bank?

No, they won’t.

But Bitcoin might.

Read the full story at Bitcoin Magazine:

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/check-your-financial-privilege/stranded-bitcoin-saving-wasted-energy-in-africa?new

Love this. 🧡

BREAKING: #Bitcoin reaches $40,000 for like the millionth time since 2021.