When investing in a bitcoin treasury CEO make sure to pay close attention to body language:

Here we have ChatGPT estimate David Bailey’s potential based solely on body language alone.

- Huge man spread

- Leaning far back

- Feet firmly planted

- Territorial

- Stoic

- Engaged

- Present

- Classic power posture

This is a man who is physically at ease but emotionally guarded.

His posture says, “You can ask me questions, but I don’t owe you energy.”

There’s a quiet dominance to the sprawl. He isn’t here to win you over. He’s here because he’s earned his seat.

Estimated Return Range based on body language:

Base Case (50th percentile):

8x –15x

Bull Case (90th percentile):

100x+

If his thesis is right and he executes (or attracts the team who can), the detachment and quiet confidence signal the kind of world-builder who changes the rules instead of playing the game. Bitcoin-style asymmetric upside.

If I had to assign a single expected return number based on a power-weighted average of outcomes:

~28x expected return

That’s factoring in:

• 10% chance of 100x+

• 40% chance of 10–20x

• 30% chance of 2–5x

• 20% chance of total failure

High volatility, high asymmetry. Definitely not a “safe” play, but could carry a whole fund if right.

In summary: Do not fade a man spreading his legs this wide.

When investing in a bitcoin treasury CEO make sure to pay close attention to body language:

Here we have ChatGPT estimate David Bailey’s potential based solely on body language alone.

- Huge man spread

- Leaning far back

- Feet firmly planted

- Territorial

- Stoic

- Engaged

- Present

- Classic power posture

This is a man who is physically at ease but emotionally guarded.

His posture says, “You can ask me questions, but I don’t owe you energy.”

There’s a quiet dominance to the sprawl. He isn’t here to win you over. He’s here because he’s earned his seat.

Estimated Return Range based on body language:

Base Case (50th percentile):

8x –15x

Bull Case (90th percentile):

100x+

If his thesis is right and he executes (or attracts the team who can), the detachment and quiet confidence signal the kind of world-builder who changes the rules instead of playing the game. Bitcoin-style asymmetric upside.

If I had to assign a single expected return number based on a power-weighted average of outcomes:

~28x expected return

That’s factoring in:

• 10% chance of 100x+

• 40% chance of 10–20x

• 30% chance of 2–5x

• 20% chance of total failure

High volatility, high asymmetry. Definitely not a “safe” play, but could carry a whole fund if right.

In summary: Do not fade a man spreading his legs this wide.

Don’t fund wars.

Governments print money, create inflation, and use those funds to finance conflicts.

Don’t use fiat.

Every bill you spend in their system fuels their war machine.

Use Bitcoin.

Neutral money, no intermediaries, no censorship. A world without inflation is a world with less war.

#Bitcoin #PeaceNotWar

Craigslist ADs paying people $6,500 to $12,500 per week to be "tough bad*sses" in Los Angeles

"This isn't for everyone. No quitters, no cowards, no weak links. If you can't handle serious pressure, don't reply'

The Ads on Craigslist offering people $6,500 to $12,500 per week are found under the "general labor" category. They are seeking a select crew of highly capable and fearless men for what appears to be a high-risk, private contract role.

Location: Los Angeles, California

Compensation: $6,500 to $12,500 per week, depending on experience

Job Title: Operator

Employment Type: Contract

Experience Level: No experience required, though preference is given to those with relevant backgrounds

Requirements: The ad targets "extremely tough, brave men" who can lead or follow as needed and stay calm under pressure in high-intensity situations. Bonus experience includes military (excluding Marines), law enforcement, or private security backgrounds, as well as skills in crisis management, tactical response, or facing trained opposition.

Application Process: Applicants must provide their name and contact number, with phone interviews required. Candidates are expected to share real-life examples of toughness, reliability, or adversity overcome. Those without experience must explain their "badass mentality" and how they can contribute to the crew’s success in completing jobs or "taking down scores."

Pick one play and run it like your life depends on it.

Because it does.

Don’t hedge. Don’t second guess. Pick the move that aligns with your deepest conviction, your real edge, and your clearest path to victory then commit.

Not halfway. All the way.

Run it with precision. Run it with aggression. Refine the execution, not the idea.

The moment you start glancing at other plays, you’re already compromising the one you chose. That’s how people lose not from bad plans, but from lack of focus.

In a world full of noise, optionality, and fear of missing out, there’s power in clarity. When you pick one thing and commit to it like your life depends on it, the world will get out of your way.

Because most people never focus on just one thing.

They’re too unsure of themselves. So they flit from thing to thing accomplishing nothing in the end.

Good Morning ☀️

“Never will man penetrate deeper into error than when he is continuing on a road which has led him to great success.”

— Friedrich Hayek

BREAKING: Iran officially withdraws from nuclear negotiations with the United States

Our initial port to Android 16 has been completed and can be built for the emulator from our 16 branch. All of the device-independent #GrapheneOS code has been ported. There are some parts of the port which will be redone better and a lot of testing and fixing regressions to do.

Normally, we would have announced the availability experimental releases based on Android 16 already. Unfortunately, Android 16 dropped device/hardware support from the Android Open Source Project and we're going to need to put it together ourselves without being prepared for it.

We'll be starting from the Android 15 QPR2 device support code and stripping it down to a bare minimum. Pixel 9a is a special case and will be more work.

Our hardware-based USB-C port control feature will no longer work with this approach and we need to replace half of the code.

We received early notice of Android 16 removing the device support code from AOSP but were unable to confirm it or determine the details. We have existing automated tooling for this we can significantly extend to generate what we need. It will be difficult and a major regression.

Paying an ODM to make a Snapdragon device for us is increasingly appealing. We would have all the device support code we need, could build it with compiler-based hardening and would be able to harden a lot of the device's firmware. We could also make secure element applets.

We want to be building privacy and security features. We don't want to be wasting our efforts on adding device support and other basic functionality to AOSP. It appears the only way we're going to be able to do that is paying millions of dollars to an ODM to have a proper base.

As an example of what we would be able to do even with an entirely standard reference device, we could add hardware support for our duress PIN/password feature to the secure element so that successfully exploiting the OS could not bypass it. We could do a whole lot with firmware.

Pixels meeting our requirements is why many of them were and are being purchased. We've reported MANY vulnerabilities over the years which have been fixed for Android and Pixels. We've proposed hardware, firmware and many software level security enhancements they've adopted.

We would prefer not having to pay millions of dollars to have a phone produced for us. It's entirely doable but we would need to repeat it every few years. We'd rather work with an OEM with aligned goals and willing to provide first class GrapheneOS support to sell more devices.

Pixels have substantially benefited from meeting our requirements and having GrapheneOS available for them. We know there's a significant market for an OEM working with us to make a more secure device with hardware-based security features not available on Pixels or iPhones.

Many people live in fantasy worlds where there aren't cultural, psychological, philosophical, political, and religious differences between individuals and groups of humans. Not everyone is a pura vida hippie. There are people out there who want to murder and rape your family for not sharing their religion. There are others who would do it for no other reason than they want to.

I've seen some of the darker side of reality, and many of your little fantasies would get a lot of people killed if carried out. Not everything is a psyop. Some of it is just good old reality that you don't want to face.

Is anyone building a client that is only zaps?

A client where every interaction has a price, and that price creates signal, intentionality, and quality.

Not a walled garden. It would be open source, Nostr native, and permissionless.

Anyone can plug in but if you want to speak, you pay.

If you’re valuable, you get paid.

Think less social media client and more civilizational filter.