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Osma A ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
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Tech and systems, Europe and Ukraine, democracy and defense, energy and science. And whatever else I find interesting, I don't discriminate. Mostly English, occasionally Finnish

nostr:npub1lj756j70nykyqjtz5hfs43gkzyvzjpq36lt9u2qxxrp9jtqws5mqkdzczx

Chris, a question. You write that LinkedIn is the only social media which auto-suggests hashtags. Do you see Medium's topics bar somehow qualitatively different, because that, too, uses auto-suggest? I see them as effectively the same - the only different being syntactic wrt the use of # character or not.

Etelรค-Suomen taivas on tรคhtikirkas. Jos et ole keskellรค valosaastetta, nyt kannattaa vaivautua ulos katsomaan. Itse vietin 20 minuuttia laiturilla ja bongasin muutaman #Perseidit meteorin ja kahdeksan satelliittia, luultavasti kaikki #Starlink samasta pohjoiseen osoittaneesta lentoradasta ja tasaisista vรคleistรค pรครคtellen.

Translated:

"Some of the viruses in fur animals also have mutations, which indicate the transformation of the virus as a result of mammalian infections."

https://yle.fi/a/74-20043894

An official was in the TV news saying there is no intention to stop farming, but interestingly I can't find that statement anywhere on the net.

Isabella Eckerle, Prof at Geneva Centre for Emerging Viral Diseases:

"FFS! Shut down these farms and stop the farming of these animals! This is playing with fire and really provoking adaptation of the virus to mammals. We are not ready for another pandemic, and the situation does not seem to be under control at all."

https://twitter.com/EckerleIsabella/status/1687181399550291968

In Finnish:

https://www.iltalehti.fi/kotimaa/a/0654926c-507f-4e1b-aed8-ad2c1173c85c

#avianinfluenza #H5N1 #Finland #furfarming

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

The significant shift that is happening, for sure, is that Ukrainian domestic production of both naval and aerial long range strike capability is developing to a point where the use of it can have material impact to the outcome. Keyword here is domestic: technically these capabilities existed before, but their use like this wasn't politically available.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta yes and what we now see is a qualitative shift within this overall phenomenon. The American Revolutionaries tried to use a submarine to sink British ships 250 years ago. In a similar situation today they would have a much better chance.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

Yom Kippur war. Soviet-Afghan war. PLA. IEDs against US military in all the Middle East conflicts. IRA. There is no qualitative shift. Perhaps a quantitative one, but even that is dubious. This is just the nature of asymmetric war and the development of technology during conflict.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta absolutely. The development I'm describing is a qualitative shift where even a far weaker adversary can still effect a lot of denial, as with Ukraine's non-navy naval war.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

I understand that's what you're saying. I'm saying that has always been a feature of war. Small and comparatively weaker forces have, since the beginning of history, used raids to this effect against superior adversaries.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk it seems to me that one plank of Ukraine's current theory of victory is to advance to a point where they can place Crimea and its connections under enough fire to use it as a bargaining chip to get back the rest of Ukraine. So these attacks could be seen as Ukraine trying to carry out this kind of pressure even without having advanced much.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

That's an interpretation, for sure. I would pick the far simpler one, though: with the ability for long range strikes developing, Ukraine is using them to try and make occupation of Crimea untenable even before the land war reaches Azov Sea. Meanwhile, they're also using the long range strike capability to russian territory to create political pressure against putin. I see no reason to doubt their stated objective of liberating all occupied territories.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta it's not a 1:1 comparison, but the development of a situation where denial is easier than control, in all the domains, really, is striking here. Unfortunately it implies a tendency towards stalemate, unless Russia experiences a political collapse.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

Denial typically is easier than control in any domain, because control requires ability to prevent any disruptive action. Even in the land war, which favors the defender, if success is measured by ability to perform strikes, no minefield or trench line can control artillery.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta the situation with the sea domain feels a lot like that with the air. Both able to mount denial operations, neither able to assert control. And for Russia that's worse, because as the stronger party they have more assets that they can't use now.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

Ukraine has no Navy as of today, while they do have an Air Force. That means the comparison isn't particularly apt - for a nation with no Navy, Ukraine is having a lot of success sinking or disabling high value naval targets.

I am waiting for the first news of a russian submarine promoted to a dive site.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

Hey, world. Just so you know, #H5N1 has mutated on Finnish fur farms to spread between mammals. #Finland will not stop the practice of farming mink, fox in steel cages etc despite this. This should not be a surprise, since we value neither animal nor human life. Feel free to apply pressure.

#respiratory #pandemic #policy #policyfailure