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Matheus
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Author of free book Bitcoin by a Newbie
Replying to Avatar Malos10

Venezuela Update:

VENEZUELA 2026: THE END OF MADURO AND TRUMP’S NEW TRANSITION

​(SUMMARY OF JANUARY 3)

​1. CAPTURE OF MADURO AND U.S. INTERVENTION

​Military operation and naval blockade. Maduro captured and transferred to the U.S. Leadership by Hegseth and Rubio.

​Pete Hegseth: Secretary of War/Defense

​Marco Rubio: Secretary of State

​2. THE NEW POWER SCHEME: RUBIO AND DELCY

​Transition controlled by the U.S. Rubio manages aid and diplomacy. Pact with Delcy Rodríguez to control the bureaucracy and avoid collapse.

​3. THE DISPLACEMENT OF MARÍA CORINA MACHADO

​Machado publicly sidelined by Trump to justify direct U.S. management.

​Trump speech bubble: "She does not have the respect or the support of the country."

​CONCLUSION

​From a democratic promise to a temporary U.S. occupation/administration in alliance with a Chavista faction, leaving out the traditional opposition.

-------------------

Why that way ?

The Short Answer (the one no one wants to hear)

​Because real power is still held by the armed Chavismo, not the civilian opposition.

In harsh transitions, you negotiate with the person who can start or put out the fire, not with the person who has the moral high ground.

​Now, let's look at the layers 👇

​1. Why is Delcy Rodríguez at the table?

​Because Delcy represents three things that the U.S. needs right now:

​Administrative Continuity

​Ministries, PDVSA, banks, ports.

​Without this, the country's operations would paralyze in days.

​A Direct Channel to Hard Power

​The military, intelligence services, and colectivos.

​She doesn't command them, but she coordinates them.

​The Ability to Deliver Results

​Information, demobilization, signatures, and orders.

👉 It’s not about sympathy. It’s about utility.

​2. Why NOT María Corina Machado?

​This part hurts, but it is the truth:

​María Corina does not control weapons.

​She does not control territory.

​She does not control logistics.

​She cannot guarantee that there won't be violence tomorrow.

​In a "clash phase," those factors weigh more than legitimacy, votes, or popular support.

​Additionally (and this is key):

👉 For the hardline Chavismo, she is an existential threat. Bringing her in now blocks any immediate negotiation.

​3. What about Edmundo González?

​Edmundo is:

​An electoral symbol.

​A figure of civilian consensus.

​But he is not a "power operator."

He is useful for later, not for putting out the fire.

​The Real Logic (Cold but Constant)

​Transitions always go through 3 phases:

​🔥 PHASE 1 – Chaos Control

You negotiate with:

​Those who have weapons.

​Those who can unleash violence.

​Those who know where the landmines are buried.

👉 This is where Delcy comes in. Not by choice, but by necessity.

​🧱 PHASE 2 – Reorganization of Power

New players begin to enter:

​Civilians.

​Technocrats.

​"Acceptable" actors.

👉 This is where Edmundo and others could enter.

​🗳️ PHASE 3 – Legitimation

Only then do you have:

​Elections.

​María Corina.

​The democratic narrative.

👉 But this happens at the end, not at the beginning.

​The Emotional Error of the Venezuelan People

​The belief that: "If Maduro fell, the 'good guys' are now in charge."

​No.

First, those who can prevent the country from burning are in charge.

Next, those who can govern are in charge.

Finally, those who can represent are in charge.

​Note: This does NOT mean María Corina is "out."

It means:

​She is not the card for this play.

​She is the card for the next one.

Bringing her in now would be like trying to hold elections in the middle of a forest fire.

​My Strategic Reading

​If the transition moves forward:

​María Corina will not be the negotiator.

​But she will be the legitimizer.

​And likely the figure who capitalizes politically afterward.

​If they remove her from the game entirely, then there is a real cause for alarm.

Obrigado pela análise Malos!

Maybe one day I will ride like you!

The Fractional Reserve Banking (FRB) Scam

1) It promises something it cannot deliver

When you deposit money in a bank, you believe your funds will be available whenever you want (it’s your money, not the bank’s).

But under fractional reserve banking, the bank lends out most of that money.

That’s a contractual contradiction:

• A deposit should be safekeeping.

• A loan means giving up the use of the money.

The bank does both at the same time with the same funds.

According to the Austrian School of economics, this is deceptive by definition.

2) Money is created “out of thin air”

Under FRB:

• You deposit $100

• The bank lends out $90

• That $90 returns to the system as a new deposit and is lent out again

Now there is more “money” circulating than real savings.

There was no additional work.

No additional production.

No additional saving.

The money supply was inflated—legal counterfeiting.

3) It creates artificial business cycles

When banks expand credit, interest rates are artificially lowered.

Entrepreneurs are misled into believing there is more real savings than actually exist.

They invest in long-term or risky projects—but the savings aren’t real.

When credit expansion stops:

Projects fail, recessions hit, unemployment rises, and crises follow.

And as we all know, there’s no such thing as “market failure” here.

4) It depends on the State to avoid collapse

If everyone tried to withdraw their money at once, banks couldn’t pay—it simply isn’t there.

That’s why the system requires:

• A central bank as lender of last resort

• Bailouts and rescues

In other words, a system that cannot sustain itself and socializes losses.

This is not a free market.

It is institutionalized fraud.

Provided there was no possibility of central banks bailing out funds, it would be a free practice where each citizen would be responsible for deciding which institution to deposit their savings in! Free competition of reserve models. But the current model even prohibits narrow banks from operating! Curiously, Tether circumvented the regulations and operates as a narrow bank.

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In the past 100 years, stock values have been rising in dollar terms, but have remained flat in gold and are falling in Bitcoin.

At this rate, in a few years, someone with just a few BTC will be able to buy the entire fortune you’ve spent your whole life building through stock investments!

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It's not as fun as sports, but it will bring rewards. Don't give up at the first opportunity, the results will come!

Exactly 15 years ago, a solution was proposed for CPU miners who had to compete with GPU miners on the Bitcoin network.

On November 27, 2010, Bitcointalk forum member “slush” announced that he had designed the first Bitcoin mining pool.

Before that, individual miners using CPU-based systems faced intense competition, especially from those mining with GPU-equipped computers.

He proposed a solution to combine the computing power of multiple CPUs.

The goal was to increase the chances of finding a block and thus earn a proportional reward. By joining the mining pool, CPU miners could enjoy more consistent payouts compared to solo mining, where finding a block could take weeks or even months.

For reference, last week (November 21), a solo miner hit the jackpot and found the hash to mine block 924,569.

His equipment produced a hashrate of 1.2 TH/s, while the Bitcoin network that day was at 1.14 ZH/s.

That means his daily odds were 1 in 6.6 million, or roughly 18,000 years of mining to find a single block.

At least since then, it has been possible to connect to a mining pool and get paid proportionally, instead of waiting 18,000 years…

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This article analyzes how much energy is needed to test all possible private keys in the Bitcoin protocol.

Let us know if you were surprised after reading it...

https://exame.com/future-of-money/como-seria-um-ataque-hacker-ao-protocolo-do-bitcoin-e-possivel/

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Trying to orange pill her…

My independent and free book being displayed next to a book by nostr:nprofile1qqsyzjda9jnupz4kxgwura2pwmrc4nfftk4zqvxu5p8gqy9dnyh8zngpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsz9nhwden5te0wfjkccte9ehx7um5wghxuet59u3htk2t and next to the book by nostr:nprofile1qqsw34nugddy5kfsfc2pg2qwj5h0u9a7gf20egnez6lk870h8e22hfqpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujucm4wfex2mn59en8j6gprfmhxue69uhkummnw3ezummjv9hxwetsd9kxctnyv4mq5mps8v that I'm reading! I took a photo to show my mom!

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Já que não existe muitos usuários de Bitchat no Brasil, tá aí uma forma alternativa de usá-lo:

Para receber perguntas da plateia durante um painel sobre a nostr:nprofile1qqsqlzkn2zk6yv9ll73lguqf7vqy4nj5qmyajxnf2aam9ffdzc0teccpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgqgwwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkctcred75u um evento!

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Event for 6k lawyers in São Paulo!

Talking about #bitcoin and Private Law Society!

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