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Chilidem
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Head mod at r/Buttcoin

If Balaji's $1M call is right, it doesn't seem like it would stay at just $1M. That's way too conservative for total system collapse and flight to bitcoin. It would definitely skyrocket to $10M or become where it was impossible to buy with fiat currency. Might as well just make the bet $10M in 95 days.

I'm thinking about diversifying my crypto portfolio. Thoughts on this?

That's the incorrect type of halving.

Probably going to snag one of these when they are out. Love the idea of having cold storage and a more hot wallet for daily use.

Replying to Avatar Mike Brock

I have an unfinished book manuscript, I started writing in 2020. I'm actually quite happy with what's there. It's called "A World Worth Living In". It is my attempt to capture the constitution of the principles I think lead towards what you might call the "good life". It's a deeply philosophical book, and it tries to synthesize what I see as the best principles for thinking about the present, and how I think we could move towards the future.

I keep opening up Scrivener, and can't get past a writer's block. I think what's really happened is some pretty important assumptions I went into writing it, have shifted under my feet. In particular, a pretty deep re-evaluation of how I think about the problems and opportunity of technology.

That said, I've come to a conclusion. I think I'm going to try and repurpose some select portions of the manuscript I still think represent my current thoughts into some Medium posts in the coming months.

Also, I want to start a new manuscript, that tried to build my case for bitcoin. Why I think it's important. Where I think it's going. Where I think it's not going. And how it interfaces with political and cultural challenges. I speak to a lot of people who constantly tell me that they are glad I'm advancing the perspectives I am, and that I represent a thread of thought in bitcoin that has a decent amount of adherents, but there's really no corpus to capture what the full argument is. There is plenty of such sources of this from an anarchist and libertarian perspective. I want to give a shot at creating an argument that treads a lot closer to the classical liberal tradition.

I really feel like I need a new Sunday hobby.

Would definitely read.

Without incurring debt. Also assuming GDP doesn't skyrocket and maintains a normal trajectory.

To some extent, this may be true. But it's better than just assuming all studies were setup in a sound manner with solid controls and the right analyses applied. The point being, you should read the study, and in this case the survey, before taking any results as noteworthy. "Don't trust, verify" as some might say.

I'm not objecting to your statement. I'm saying your source, a Newsweek article referencing an unknown survey, should be questioned.

Empirically-derived information needs to be scrutinized as well. This is why we peer review studies and don't just accept results at face value. It's not about my intuition vs. fact like you are claiming.

I would be somewhat wary of these claims. You have no idea how the survey was worded in order to get thoses results. It's like the political compass test. Damn near everyone becomes Bernie Sanders (left libertarian) just because of the way questions are phrased.