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Louis Rossouw
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Professionally I'm an actuary, who works with mortality data, and various analytics projects using mostly R. I work in life reinsurance. The above experience made an interest in COVID-19 inevitible. I've also tinkered with Bitcoin since 2013. #rstats, #covid19, #analytics, #reinsurance, #photography, #bitcoin, #programming, #hiking, #travel, #wine, #capetown, #southafrica, and more.

Brick Lane Graffiti.

#london #uk

Mate you keep changing your argument. I keep pointing out you incorrectly said that Hamas reduced their estimates. They did not.

I am not an expert on Gaza death stats. But you claimed something and it simply wasn't true.

I can tell you if you have no functional health system getting accurate and complete data is difficult. The IDF has destroyed the needed infrastructure. The IDF claims it's keeping track of Hamas being killed but can't keep track of civilian deaths. That seems odd for someone being careful with civilian deaths.

Your words were:

"...Hamas, itself, has revised that number down by 50% last month?"

I say yet again that Hamas has not revised it's number down. The Gaza Health Authority simply states it does not have complete information of all deathhs as you point out. This is NOT the same as revising their numbers.

As pointed out by others in the thread these numbers are very likely underestimated.

That does not say they adjusted their estimates. Just that they do not have complete data. Which is to be expected given Israel is basically destroying all health infrastructure including health infrastructure.

That article says the UN inflated the numbers. I don't agree even with that. That article does not say that Hamas reduced their numebrs as you clambed in your earlier notes.

You are claiming Hamas halved their own numbers.

Replying to Avatar j'ai les clés

“Didn’t happen?”

Start here:

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2024/04/09/hamas-run-gaza-health-ministry-admits-to-flaws-in-casualty-data/

Then see here:

https://www.cfr.org/blog/un-halves-its-estimate-women-and-children-killed-gaza

It’s gotten so bad that, two weeks ago, the US Congress voted to prohibit the State Dept. from relying on the Hamas Health Ministry as the primary source for counting fatalities.

The numbers are simply not accurate.

https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/gaza-fatality-data-has-become-completely-unreliable

Or consider the following, from a 30-year veteran of the United States Navy and of the U.S. intelligence community who says that to even call the numbers “unreliable” is to given them too much credit: https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/07/the_folly_of_basing_american_gaza_policy_on_false_hamas_reported_casualties.html

None of those articles say that Hamas halved it's estimates.

Had a great view of the Slanghoek valley on a recent flight. #southafrica #photography

Coming into Pearson airport in #Toronto, #Canada. #travel

Suset #hiking #capetown #southafrica

On a walk in Cape Town a couple of nights back #hiking

You can install it but it's a mission to maintain and ensure other large centralised providers accept your email (gmail and outlook).

Developed countries typically have requirements for immigration that are difficult for many in developing countries to meet.

Agree from what I understand of American politics. Also the world is not American politics. In other parts of the world different specturms exist and bitcoin appeals to those generally looking for freedom from financial oppression.

nostr:npub17u5dneh8qjp43ecfxr6u5e9sjamsmxyuekrg2nlxrrk6nj9rsyrqywt4tp one of my security considerations that may be worth investigating as one of your deep dives:

1. You're a native to a country carrying it's passport where either you're the victim of something unjust or a big part of society is at risk. Assume the country has AML/KYC and other typic financial requirements.

2. You decide to leave the country as a refugee or close to it etc.

3. Assuming you've managed to carry your private keys out of that country.

4. You arrive in another country with developed financial system similar to the above.

What would stop you from using your bitcoin that country? Or what would you have to do yo use your bitcoin in that new country to buy a house or whatever.

Assuming you have or do not have a passport to that new country. I.e. I guess the answer may differ?