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nobody
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account deleted

nostr:npub1excellx58e497gan6fcsdnseujkjm7ym5yp3m4rp0ud4j8ss39js2pn72a nostr:note1cgvv2kaxuy6q93xskxyach4kyugu48vtsqdlnpat09n2kqd0r7lqtyww4l

The law of large numbers makes it mathematically certain that there will be diminishing returns (from very high levels) over time in the purchasing power of Bitcoin.

This note is repulsive.

A guy that is all over social media and has his own podcast thinks we should be repulsed by a talented entertainer who has a much bigger following than him for being addicted to fame. LOL. Maybe he is just jealous.

Sure, keep defending the ridiculous.

We do have a general idea of how much currency there is the world. About $80T. Let’s just say $100T to round off. Let’s say that doubles to $200T in 2033. (Which would be close if a house price goes from 600k to $1.5M) That is equivalent to about $10M/BTC.

What you are actually saying is that in 10 years that the bitcoin market cap will be 4X the total value of money in the world, and you call that “conservative”. LOL.

One can be BAF on bitcoin and at the same time tired of hopium based irrational analysis like this that raises expectations of those that don’t know any better.

This is ridiculous analysis. It seems very few including you seem to understand a very basic rule of the law of large numbers.

It is much easier for bitcoin to go from a $1B to $100B in market cap than to go from $1T to $100T because $100 trillion is a much larger number relative to the net worth of the world.

What $37M /BTC represents is a bitcoin market cap much greater than the entire net worth of the world!

Of course that is ridiculous. The only way that would ever happen is if the purchasing power of the dollar collapsed, but then a house price in dollars would been many multiples of $1.5M.

It is this type of child like analysis that I see so often that leads people to unrealistic expectations and then disappointment when expectations aren’t reached.

It’s down to 605k as of today if you check the website. That is 14k bitcoin or over $500M in bitcoin dumped on the market in less than a week.

Wow, Grayscale has lost over 14,000 BTC in their ETF in 3 trading days (619k to 605k). This BTC has to be dumped on the market. One would assume almost all of those proceeds would be moved to another Bitcoin ETF but hard to know and may be a drag on the market.

One long run a week. Increase that by a mile each week until you get to about 10 to 12 mikes 2 weeks before the race. Many resources online for optimal training methods.

Also during the race plan for negative splits.

Replying to Avatar jimmysong

On Lincoln

----------------

Lincoln wasn't a good president. He wasn't even a mediocre president. He was a terrible president. He suspended individual rights. He massively expanded the government through money printing. He led millions of people to their deaths. All for power.

What we learn in school is that he was the great emancipator, ending slavery and winning a war that had to be won. That he was some man of genius and virtue, thrust upon the national stage at the right time to progress history.

Such is the result of the history being written by the winners. Similar hagiographies have been written about FDR and even Woodrow Wilson. But like the news, much of history is spun to manipulate us. Most of conventional history is fake and even a cursory study of what actually happened is enough to make you question how virtuous they were, and why they made the decisions they did. Almost always, you find that they were opportunistic cowards that did what would cost them least, even at the expense of the people they affected.

History is a tricky topic because the counterfactuals are always very speculative. But what we can judge is the values played out in actions taken, and in that sense, Lincoln was pretty terrible. He suspended habeas corpus, he cheated in border state elections to keep them in the union, and he massively, massively expanded the scope, power and size of government through inflationary theft.

It's hard to imagine what things were like before Lincoln, because before him, was a string of single-term Jacksonian, hard-money Democrat presidents. This was back when liberal meant being for personal liberty and that era of government before 1860 was insanely small, about 2% of the GDP. He would oversee an unprecedented expansion which would take the government to 20%.

Much of it, was, of course, because of the Civil War, and the popular narrative is that he needed to wage that war to end slavery. And yes, the issue was a major one in that era, but the elimination of slavery was more of a lucky by-product than an aim. His main goal, as he stated over and over again and as acted out in his policies, was to preserve the union, not to end slavery.

In preserving the union, he destroyed the idea that states had the right of secession, he weakened the idea of natural rights and he stole through inflation and sent many to their deaths. The centralizing of the federal government, the behemoth that we live with today began during his heyday.

The main thing that preserved his legacy was his assassination. Had a couple of battles gone the wrong way in 1863 and 1864, he wouldn't have been re-elected and he would have disappeared into the annals of history as a political amateur that lucked into the presidency in 1860 and screwed things up for 4 years. Instead, he was re-elected, assassinated and the horrific legacy of reconstruction was blamed on others. In short, he died at the right time.

There are those, of course, that will argue that Lincoln would have done things differently, and that he would have been more merciful to the south and rebuilt things as to spare them the suffering. But that's inconsistent with everything he did. Like most politicians he was a power grabber and he did what was politically expedient and not what was virtuous or right. He suspended habeas corpus (needing a reason to arrest and detain people)! He made generals do what would make him look good so he would get elected, not what would save the most lives or win the war the quickest. He created the greenback, which was a form of money printing to finance the war. And he spent an insane sum of other peoples' money through implicit and explicit taxes to "preserve the union."

Ending slavery, of course, was a big deal and in the annals of history, it's a dark mark in the history of the US that the institution survived so long. And yes, the Civil War did end it, but that wasn't the objective of the war itself.

Being Republican, he had a large Radical wing that he had to deal with and they wanted abolition, and later full voting rights for blacks. Because the south had seceded, they had the votes to pass the constitutional amendments, though only toward the end of the war when it was clear the north would win. That was a political expediency that ended up defining his legacy. But really, it's his biographers and historians of the winning side that have spun him to be a hero, when he was anything but.

The big flaw of Lincoln is that he created an unnecessary war that cost millions of lives and billions of dollars, one that set back the US by decades. Letting the south secede and revoking the Fugitive Slave Act would have ended the institution just as well, for much less cost. And this isn't idle speculation. Brazil had the second largest slave population in the 19th century that was whittled down quickly because the slaves had northern provinces where they could escape. The price of slaves dropped dramatically and soon, the institution itself was destroyed through economic means, not martial ones.

What's worse about Lincoln's legacy is that he set a precedent for federal power that brought forth the progressive era and eventually to Woodrow Wilson and FDR. The centralization of federal power began with him.

Lincoln wasn't a good president. But the history is written by the winners and they have made a secular saint out of him.

I want so hard to disagree with you but finding it hard to.

If you hear “Lincoln was our best President” enough times, especially when young, it’s hard to reverse your thinking.

nostr:npub1excellx58e497gan6fcsdnseujkjm7ym5yp3m4rp0ud4j8ss39js2pn72a Samson Mow

Ridiculous hopium and is never called out on it. Always seems to be talking to nation states about bitcoin adoption and never has success.

No thanks. The $100 bill is only used for drug trafficking, money laundering, and tax avoidance.

You may be right, just saying it’s unlikely. Brian Armstrong may be misguided with his Coinbase shitcoin casino but I don’t think he is a crook, and don’t think he wants to go to jail for running a fraudulent publicly traded audited company.