There’s one more step to that, which the chapter covers.

When Americans traded their dollars for stuff, the foreigners take those dollars and buy a larger share of our companies from us. We gradually trade away parts of appreciating capital assets for depreciating goods. They keep selling us depreciating goods and own a gradually larger share of our appreciating assets.

The fact that bond yields are UP today is the most noteworthy thing, imo.

#privacy

EFF Cover your tracks browser tests

Hardware: pixel phone

OS: Graphene

Browser: Brave

Doesn’t mean it will be authentic…

youtube is increasingly filled with AI made and narrated videos.

im telling you, there is going to be a demand for authentic human to human videos with no marketing angle. there already is.

ALERT: Germany Eyes Historic #Gold Withdrawal from U.S. Federal Reserve Vault Following New Tariffs. 🇩🇪🇺🇸

The Bitcoin price isn’t moving. This is not movement.

Stop freaking out about every tiny blip. 🤣

I remember back when Israel went into Gaza, and markets took a hit, bitcoin was down notably and many tradfi macro folks who I otherwise respect for good market analysis were like “Why is bitcoin down today? I thought it’s a safe haven, lol.”

Similarly, today when bitcoin is up amid market turmoil, the bitcoin bulls celebrate it.

I’d be cautious about all one-day moves. If you over-emphasize them, you risk looking like someone with a memory of a goldfish, or otherwise operating with selection bias.

However, a point I have made in the past, and will repeat today, is that there are different types of risk-off events. A risk-off event that hurts liquidity is likely to hurt bitcoin. A risk-off event that demands more liquidity, or that is unrelated to liquidity (eg tariffs attacking corporate margins), is more likely to benefit or at least kind of spare Bitcoin.

Focusing on Bitcoin as a risk on or risk off asset is first level thinking. People who understand it deeply and self custody it tend to view it as risk off period, for good reason. But not always in terms of price. In terms of price, whether it functions as a risk on/off asset varies based on what type of risk on/off catalyst it was.

This catalyst risks hitting margins, not liquidity, and thus so far the reaction makes sense. But it still pays to be careful not to celebrate one-day moves too much.

Cautiously bullish.

first time ive compiled emacs from source rather than using the pre compiled package manager version.

so far, significantly improved performance.

BREAKING: #Bitcoin smashing $88k.

Too many people have given Elon a pass. Don't give him a pass.

He's a marketer, not a founder or an engineer. He didn't found PayPal or Tesla; he bought into them early. He's good at selling narratives and equity valuation for perpetually unprofitable companies.

Everything for him is a narrative. His green revolution was a narrative to sell more cars and get more subsidies. His bitcoin purchase was to gain appeal among bitcoin/crypto people in a bull market. And he shilled doge like a dumbass. His SpaceX narrative is to get money from the government.

His rooftop solar thing was an outright scam; the technology isn't ready and went nowhere because of that. His full-self-driving-in-an-intermediate-term timeline was a scam, and is going nowhere because of that. He makes scams to draw people and capital in, because for him it's all about narratives and equity valuation.

And then he dug unproductive holes, suggested unproductive hyper-tubes, built meme flamethrowers, for what? It's a narrative, not a business. None of this is real productive shit to make peoples' lives better.

His latest "we need free speech" narrative was a scam too. He tapped into something real, which is what marketers do and why it kind of worked. Yes, we need free speech. Yes, Twitter had censorship issues. He saw that and jumped on it maliciously rather than productively.

But what did he replace it with? He replaced it with arbitrary journalist censorship about his private jet, arbitrary censorship of Substack, selective Twitter Files release, won't talk seriously about any of his China connections because Xi Jinping fucking owns him economically there like Jack Ma, has his balls firmly in his grasp, etc.

Elon's playing the narrative, the anti-woke meme of the day. He's a master meme-momentum-player. Don't fall for it.