My Nostr predictions for 2024

Today marks one year since I joined Nostr. It’s been a crazy year, but I have a feeling that 2024 is going to be much crazier. Here are some predictions:

1. Nostr social media clients will become insanely good. By the end of the year we will surpass the legacy social media clients in terms of UX and features, making them look like relics of the past.

2. More lightning wallets will implement Nostr integration. By the end of the year Nostr will become a de facto standard public lightning directory.

3. The bitcoin bull run will bring more users to Nostr, adding more gravity to the network.

4. At some point, a massive new cohort of users will join Nostr. We won’t be ready for them. Relays and other services (indexers, media hosting, etc.) will struggle to support them. After some hiccups, the Nostr ecosystem will adjust.

5. With the increased network activity, spammers will return in force. They will be sophisticated and relentless, putting all of our spam mitigation services to the test.

6. Long form notes will become much bigger on Nostr.

7. At least one “other stuff” content type will take off in a meaningful way.

8. Nostr’s censorship resistance capabilities will get tested in a major public episode.

9. The AI community will get much more interested in Nostr. They will be attracted by the idea that open source language models, combined with Nostr’s open social graph and publicly accessible data - could actually democratize AI.

10. By the end of the year everyone - even the haters - will realize that Nostr is going to win.