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CappyNate🍁
18fcc139950a9cce3fee5ee4f4f46f3e3f0e338277dcc8bcd692b3ce0e94084e
Tech, money, startups, free-markets. Sidelined by undiagnosed neurological issues since 2020. 🕔 heatstr.vercel.app (Busiest Nostr hours) Banned by LinkedIn Nov 11, 2024.

Saylor is a contrarian Bitcoin indicator.

Terrible price picker. Chases tops. Misses bottoms. Just another victim of the herd.

I see Saylor intentionally left out his sizing of each buy.

To avoid showing how horrendous of a price picker he is. Chases tops. Misses bottoms.

The perfect Bitcoin Contrarian indicator.

Replying to Avatar FTB

I do believe we have entered the so called suddenly phase. What’s changed, well believe it or not, it’s not the ETF’s, or the options on top of them. It’s not the red wave, the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, or the supposed nation state announcement happening at the Bitcoin Mena conference. All of that is insanely bullish and absolutely fuel on the fire. But we’re in the suddenly phase because of MicroStrategy.

If you’ve been following $MSTR as closely as I and others in the MSTR True North community have this won’t be news to you, but I know many of my humble sat stacking pleb, freak, and dirtbag friends don’t realize that the MicroStrategy strategy has evolved and Saylor has pushed the pedal straight through the floorboard. The past 4 years he’s been building a flywheel, and now it’s finally spinning.

If you want a full breakdown I can’t recommend listening to Saylor’s presentation during the most recent earnings call enough, he put all the cards on the table. Laid bare everything (and more) that the MSTR community had pieced together over the past months.

I’ll try and keep it simple, but the 21/21 plan was the starting gun, it was the announcement that there were no longer any training wheels on and that the flywheel was spinning up. Since then the company has issued 7% of the weekly trading volume via ATM offerings each week. The more liquidity the stock is trading + the more the stock goes up = the more $ that 7% has gotten them = the larger their bitcoin purchases have been. Now this has only happened for two weeks so far, but this past week they were the most liquid stock in the entire stock market. We’ll find out likely on Monday or Tuesday if he’s made it 3 in a row. My guess is it’s highly likely and if so we’ll see a ~100,000 bitcoin buy probably announced on Monday morning. 70 billion funded from ATM sales and 30 billion from convertible debt. It could be 200,000 next week and 400,000 the week after that. Higher stock price = more liquidity = more ATM sales = more bitcoin = higher stock price = more liquidity….get it? There are not nearly enough bitcoin available below $100k to keep this up. Things are accelerating extremely rapidly. This supposed sell wall is an ant hill in the face of the kind of buying MSTR is doing.

This is the main gist of the story but if you’d like to dive deeper there’s plenty more to it. Upcoming index inclusions (nitrous in the flywheels engine), convertible debt, other future debt instruments. It all points to an undeniable reality. MicroStrategy is now single handedly forcing the suddenly phase (aka hyperbitcoinization) to begin. Add on all of the other massively bullish catalysts on the horizon and it’s quite clear, DON’T SELL YOUR BITCOIN!

I love that Nostr posts can't be deleted.

So that utterly delusional and reckless posts like this, stay ingrained in history forever. So they can receive the rightful blowback they deserve.

Yup that's one way for sure. Build the personal relay right into the client. Then disseminate the content out to aggregators on the network. 100%.

On monetization.

On social networks, people want REACH. That's all an ad is.

It's a payment for REACH. To boost your content out into other people's feeds. That could be an advertiser. Could be a regular creator. Could even be a new user trying to turbocharge their initial growth.

But these are the people who fund a network. We just need to structure a economic model where the other 3 (or even 4) stakeholders get a piece of this pie so they can survive and profit.

No relay, client, or creator is surviving off monthly or voluntary direct payments. That's my only point.

This is good at a decentralization level and structure. I agree and thought the same. Don't think it needs any changes. We just need a simple to install personal relay authenticated by nsec or npub.

But I'm talking monetization. For all network stakeholders:

-Clients

-Relays

-Creators

-Followers

Here's a Bitcoin chart you've never seen before.

Because it doesn't exist yet.

The 200 monthly moving average.

A critical long term mean reversion point. Bitcoin hasn't existed for 200mths. But we can use the 170mth as a rough substitute for it

Location? ~$13,000.

Buckle up buttercup!

This, combined with a very likely 14yr Bitcoin top on Elliott Wave is ugly AF for Bitcoin.

Push Notifications.

A proper monetization strategy so you don't go bust. (Subs and Zaps won't work)

Simple. With the same model.

People pay for reach (advertisers, boosters, even new accounts). That will NEVER change.

So take that money, and fund:

-Creators

-Clients

-Relays

And hell, even fund the consumers of content with it. Get paid to view ads. Don't want ads? Turn them off and get no money. I'm already trying to plan this out but need to understand the lay of the land more. This is how you #GrowNostr

Can you explain the difference and give an example of a relay feed? I'm just learning DVM feeds....

It seems to make more sense to build a feed on a relay, but the mechanics confuse me.