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sachin
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Contributing to the Bitcoin Breakdown newsletter
Replying to Avatar sachin

Good take!

When we analyze whether a particular region is a free market, or to get a sense of the degree to which it is a free market, I think we can start with a few basic prerequisites:

1. The user/owner of the means of production or the goods produced with them is able to exchange what he owns or produced with other people - land, capital, resources, raw materials, consumer goods, production goods, etc.

2. This exchange happens at prices that both parties agree upon

3. The user/owner has the ultimate say in how his means of production is used - he decides what to produce, or not produce, when to produce, and in what quantity

4. Property titles and contracts regarding property titles are honoured and restitution mechanisms exist in case of violations

5. The money - medium of exchange - that people use holds its value/purchasing power over a long period of time and is easily exchangeable. And when it doesn't, people have the ability to shift to something else.

6. The ultimate form of ownership - ownership of self - is respected. One's body and fruits of one's labour exerted with one's body is safe from harm or being expropriated. And people have the ultimate say in what endeavour they choose to engage in with their selves.

Of course, no country or industry has this state of affairs to the fullest extent. But the degree to which these perquisites exist in a particular region, country or industry - big or small, private or public, capitalist, socialist or communist, democracy, oligarchy or autocracy - whatever the name is attached to it by narratives and storytelling by the media, is the degree to which it is a free market

Basically, lot of words to say that the degree to which property rights are respected determines how much of a free market a particular region is.

And it will also determine the degree to which we see economic growth, productivity and an increase in standard of living in that country or industry.

No one ever understands when I try telling them about China (in the US). China has an actual free market. You must see it to grasp how not-free America's market it. People there... Get this, this wild, man... People there **_start businesses._** In fact, everyone I knew there had a business, even if they had employment somewhere else. Everyone, not one exception. You can walk into actual businesses, little shops that have nothing to do with franchises or government. Shop after shop after shop... And a couple streets over, its factory after factory after factory. They're not uptight about you just walking into a factory and looking, either. Would that fly in the US? I doubt it, if you could even find one.

If you're in the US, look around and see how many businesses or friends are employed by the government, or who's employment would disappear if the government stopped paying somewhere in the chain. Even dog sitters would lose their income if the government stopped paying the business the dog owner is employed at. Small businesses are forced to franchise - that's basically a business on top of a business that only exists to manage the layers of compliance and regulatory burden. Franchises don't exist in free markets. Got some economic reason to disagree? GFY, I know my econ. The whole facade of "free market" in the US is more entry barrier than market.

The town I'm in is "growing" - there's "progress" here, as the boomers call it. That's only for one reason - there's a university with several tens of thousands of kids there basically being employed by government policy to sit there and grow their debt. That's their job. Every year there's over ten thousand 18 year olds showing up who signed a thing that exchanges their productive potential for a giant pile of debt. That debt is the only reason there's roads being built here, after several layers of corruption where bureaucrats or companies that are paid by government take a cut. And after the road is built, all the businesses that appear are franchises. You know who they pay rent to? The university. The town is owned by the university, literally. And it takes one or two **_years_** to build anything here. Nothing takes that long in China. Nothing. Free markets are wild!

Oh but China's BAD!!! Orange man : "CHIIIINA!!" There is one reason for all this anti-china rhetoric and protectionism, and its not geopolitics or containment. Its debt. Not that China owns our debt - that's the usual thought stopper when I talk to "conservatives." Without inflation, our debt can't be serviced. The payments on American debt **_at all levels_** require inflation, or the payments stop. Even your mortgage and those kids' student debt. But especially the $37 trillion of federal debt. Inflation makes payments manageable because if everything costs more after the debt is taken, including wages, then its like you borrowed less. This is why it's smart to use debt - take as much as you can, cuz you're fucking the lender. That's the game. But that also means that anything that's deflationary is the enemy of America. China's gazillion factories are deflationary : that makes China the enemy. You buy cheap shit from China : debt doesn't get devalued as fast as the corrupt class would like. Even American factories are America's enemy. Anything, anywhere, that allows supply to meet demand and prices to not rise, is deflationary, and thus America's enemy. That's it. That's the whole story, from why you can't afford groceries up to why a carrier fleet parks in some other country's waters. The beast is driven by hunger ; the hunger of the beast is debt.

I **_wish_** I knew one person in real life who could understand this. Its not even particularly complicated... But people are too busy with their side gigs to think about stuff. I **_almost_** had a conversation about it with a biologist over Thanksgiving. Almost!!! But they thought I was too radical, like maybe I'm a Commy or something, **_because I wanted the government to do less._** lol. We're so fucked.

Good take!

When we analyze whether a particular region is a free market, or to get a sense of the degree to which it is a free market, I think we can start with a few basic prerequisites:

1. The user/owner of the means of production or the goods produced with them is able to exchange what he owns or produced with other people - land, capital, resources, raw materials, consumer goods, production goods, etc.

2. This exchange happens at prices that both parties agree upon

3. The user/owner has the ultimate say in how his means of production is used - he decides what to produce, or not produce, when to produce, and in what quantity

4. Property titles and contracts regarding property titles are honoured and restitution mechanisms exist in case of violations

5. The money - medium of exchange - that people use holds its value/purchasing power over a long period of time and is easily exchangeable. And when it doesn't, people have the ability to shift to something else.

6. The ultimate form of ownership - ownership of self - is respected. One's body and fruits of one's labour exerted with one's body is safe from harm or being expropriated. And people have the ultimate say in what endeavour they choose to engage in with their selves.

Of course, no country or industry has this state of affairs to the fullest extent. But the degree to which these perquisites exist in a particular region, country or industry - big or small, private or public, capitalist, socialist or communist, democracy, oligarchy or autocracy - whatever the name is attached to it by narratives and storytelling by the media, is the degree to which it is a free market

Basically, lot of words to say that the degree to which property rights are respected determines how much of a free market a particular region is.

And it will also determine the degree to which we see economic growth, productivity and an increase in standard of living in that country or industry.

Before I discovered Bitcoin, I thought Hamilton was based because of that play. I'm not an American as well so I didn't have any context.

Now I think Jefferson is the based one.

All said, it's great work by Lin-Manuel Miranda.

Bitcoin has a bad rep in the eyes of many in my circles. They might have softened their stance because I work full time in the industry. But I still avoid explicitly talking about it all the time.

Like you, I do have conversations about the second and third order effects of fiat like reducing standards and increasing costs of living despite technological progress, growing bureaucracy and public debt, and everything else we all know.

That way, when the time comes, they'll be able to put all the pieces together.

But when I'm asked 'Do I buy Bitcoin?' without the person having all this context, I say: 'Yes, but only if you're willing to hold for a minimum of 4-5 years, take the time learn about it and buy it in small amounts periodically. Else, it's probably better to stay away'.

Fair point

Other similar introductory sites tend to be quite technical in explaining Nostr as well

Do you know anyone who has done it perfectly in a way that's accessible for non-devs?

I liked this one from nostr(dot)com as well

Replying to Avatar JeffG

Hahaha that's a cute logo

YakiHonne just keeps getting better 🤌

Opening it way more often nowadays

You can usually tell when someone is close to rage-quitting Bitcoin

The key is to go deeper.

It's about questioning the method of science, rather than science itself.

That's where these people get all hoity-toity and claim that anything that doesn't follow their method is 'anti-scientific'.

It's a slow process. First talk about how the system works. Create the dots.

And then slowly help connect them. Would prefer it if they had full conviction, slowly developed of their own accord.

Tbf I think Keynesian ideas are accompanied in mainstream economics by ideas of other schools of thought as well, which would be useful for Bitcoiners (and people advocating for freedom) to be aware of.

They would be Neoclassical economics, Modern Monetary Theory, Behavioural economics and Public choice theory.

All of these boil down to one thing - treating human beings like lab rats.

Their method involves making hypotheses, testing their hypotheses in the 'real world', gathering evidence, identifying variables and adjusting for or trying to control these variables and then coming up with new hypothesis based on observed evidence.

This is wildly useful for studying things that are always the same throughout history and don't differ from each other based on time or location - physics, chemistry, biology. Not so much for human beings who change with time, environment, upbringing, circumstances, genetics and culture.

Despite that, this method has taken over politics, law, ethics and psychology. In fact, social sciences and humanities are dominated by this method.

According to them, reasoning and reflecting on things is unscientific, while critically thinking about things and testing them with observation and evidence is scientific.

Nothing is true and everything is just a hypothesis to be tested.

(They apply this to everything - except the very claim that nothing is true and everything is just a hypothesis to be tested. That would make that claim itself not true and just a hypothesis. So there must be some truths that don't require hypothesising and testing. But this is swept under the rug.)

Anyways,

You'll find that a lot of people who recommend, propose, implement or enforce crazy policies and ideas are often driven by this method. They believe that truth and evidence is on their side and that they are 'right'. If not, they will amend the truth and evidence to make sure that they are right.

Studying Austrian economics and the rational method would be a great way to tackle this. In addition to that, more and more people simply staying humble and stacking sats.

JUST IN: NOSTR USER SAYS WE NEED MORE ANNOUNCEMENTS ON NOSTR

IT'S HAPPENING! BULLISH!

Steve Lee probably made this graphic with the intention of showcasing LDK's integration into the ecosystem haha

But that's alright.

He did miss a few important pieces like Blockstream's greenlight and others who use VLS, Strike, Zeus and its LSP, Amboss and the LSP marketplace. They're pretty well-adopted afaik.

Replying to Avatar Toxic Bitcoiner

Stay humble and stack sats took a major hit this last year. The 4 year CAGR is a measly 10.4%, below the rate of fiat money debasement. Barely any returns, barely any merchant adoption for MoE. What reason is there now for a potential precoiner to make the switch to a Bitcoin standard? Stay humble and stack: Nvidia, Palantir, or Tron gave better returns over the last 4 years.

Every single person in the developed world has heard of Bitcoin, yet it STILL only makes up ~0.17% of total global wealth. I’m tempted to even go so far as to say that the bear market of 2022 never ended. I don’t see a legion of new enthusiastic faces like I did in 2020, it’s still mostly the same people from that era and before.

We probably still underestimate how much damage ICOs then FTX, Celsius, Terra, and Blockfi caused for adoption. A double whammy for normies. I saw a story on Nostr the other day that a Square merchant wouldn’t turn on Bitcoin payments because they didn’t want anything to do with “crypto scams.” Potential precoiners are now probably more interested in stocks and real estate than Bitcoin. Even if they’re just trying to prudently outrun fiat inflation, Bitcoin failed at that the last 4 years. I know, 4 years is a bit of cherry picking, 5 year CAGR is 39% and 10 year is 73%. So yea, lower your time preference, fine.

Something big needs to change for adoption to start up again. NGU has failed as a driving force for adoption recently, which leaves freedom, libertarianism, computer science, etc…which, frankly, only an extremely small percentage of people care about enough to make the switch, most of them probably already switched. I don’t know what the catalyst(s) will be for adoption to pick up again or even if there will be one soon. Without at least one, the next few years will be a slog through the mud.

Imo this is the best time to set up trusted p2p networks to buy and sell bitcoin directly or simply networks of trusted bitcoin communities

Would also be a great time to upgrade our own tools that we use to interact with bitcoin

Don't think focusing on onboarding normies can be given much time unless they explicitly ask

An overview of Bitcoin scaling solutions (with various tradeoffs of course) from a talk by Steve Lee of Spiral at Bitcoin++ Lightning Edition (5:03:00 onwards):

https://www.youtube.com/live/7UH9o6SZPhc?si=WpAegDqhkXiKnudf&t=18201

The yellow graph in the middle is the Lightning Network.

Was wondering about the 7.9 rating for s05e06 so I searched for the plot. Rating makes sense