Avatar
Energy Producer
6eea1ae1e3d9c17c749adaa3ea433bc22fe2ebe7add0ab481bb03dd8002c9717
I stack therefore I am

Criticism and destruction are a lazy man’s favorite form of action

Not scams. Some maybe. But broadly would say risk/reward balance at low probability of success, but more similar to lottery tickets than scams

Replying to Avatar Gigi

GM

Stay in the orange, green ideally, sometimes that control threshold is imprecise

Replying to Avatar Guy Swann

Some extremely reliable facts that don’t get mentioned because “Muh NaRrAtiVE”…

Did you know?

• CO2, even as a greenhouse gas, has a declining marginal return on its effect? In other words, we have to double the CO2 concentration to have the same potential greenhouse effect.

— In other words, It’s like the bitcoin supply, only the first few halvings (or doublings for CO2) are meaningful in the supply change (or with CO2, the greenhouse effect change). After that it’s negligible.

— in other, other words, IF it has actually made the planet measurably warmer, we’ve already seen the overwhelming majority of any warming we will see?

• That CO2 is a *lagging* indicator of temperature historically, not a *leading* one?

• That the most reliable connection with CO2 levels and historical samples is a massive flourishing of life?

• At the end of the 1800s, CO2 concentration was in the 200 PPM range, and now it’s closer to 400 PPM. Wow! Thats scary huh? Except - 200 PPM is actually a multi million year LOW in CO2 levels and that the very ability for our planet to support plant life… and thus life at all at 150 or below is at risk. While on the other hand, the periods where life was literally exploding on earth (the literal Cambrian explosion and others) CO2 levels were in the 5,000-8,000 PPM range? That the AVERAGE is even something around 5k if I remember correctly? Something comically infeasible from merely burning fossil fuels?

— in other words, we were actually in such a horrible historical low in concentration that we were closer to a planet where life at all could have been unsustainable due to a LACK of CO2?

• That deaths and risks related to climate and weather have done nothing but plummet (like seriously drop like a rock, looks like the dollar value chart) for an entire century and are expected to do nothing but continue to plummet?

• That like 90% or more of weather/climate related deaths are because it’s too fucking cold?

• That for any honest view of the data: IF it should be expected that CO2 will alone actually cause a sustained warmer planet, that this just means more life, a healthier environment, higher crop yields, fewer weather related deaths, and that contrary to it causing a disaster, it’s more likely to have *averted* one?

You’re welcome 😚

Don’t focus on CO2 - it’s a distraction and not a lagging indicator. There are many times in main ice core data where it lead vs where it lagged temperature. We have no idea.

I say it’s a distraction because it gives oil and energy companies a pass on the real harmful effects, mainly of burning coal and processing oil, which are all local. Rates of death, cancer, etc. go up in a direct proportion to the distance from one of those facilities, it’s not really debated. But when you say “carbon” is the issue, then Exxon want to do carbon capture instead of stop burning.

CO2 is not the issue with current energy fleet, it’s local human deaths when we have other technology options.

All power plants are intermittent, it’s just to what degree, which is why a diverse fuel mix of distributed generators on the grid makes the most sense to ensure a low cost reliable future https://m.startribune.com/xcels-prairie-island-nuclear-plant-will-be-out-of-commission-until-january/600321701/

Building > Complaining

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

Well first I would point out that I didn't use the word "collapse" in my post. I said crisis and trend change.

Sometimes those are collapses, and sometimes they are not. The 1930s/1940s in the US was a crisis and trend change but not a collapse, for example. Whereas Europe did have collapses. I would also consider the late 1970s in the US and parts of Europe to be a smaller crisis and trend change.

I also didn't say much along these lines: "The idea that the “bad money” being used to fuel the armies and weapons will blunt the ability of states to prosecute World War III is pretty much, to me, one of the most naive hopes that I see in these conversations."

So, I'm not really sure if your line there was directed at my post or not.

Now, I do think that central banking fuels war, with UK's involvement in WWI being a prime example, and US's involvement in the Iraq war being a smaller one. With currency dilution comes less transparency and accountability, since things can be funded without 1) taxation or 2) issuing bonds that people voluntarily buy. Currency dilution and debasement is a big factor in fueling war, but by no means the only one. Wars have been fought for millennia, and indeed tribalism is a big part of that. And in this particular case, the biggest weapons of war, the nukes, are already there. It doesn't cost much money to use what is already there.

What I'm saying is that, both based on my reading of economic history and current events, incrementalism causing a monetary/fiscal/economic trend change tends to be uncommon, and rather the trend is usually on a pretty firm path until a crisis occurs. That doesn't mean that nobody should engage in politics, but rather, that this is the realistic cycle that things go through, especially around signs of sovereign debt problems.

For example, I view the current global monetary system to be unsustainable and unsalvageable. It was based on a certain technological and geopolitical era. As the US has to keep exporting dollars to maintain the system, it hollows itself out with an ever-deeper negative net international investment position, and that has a certain limit to it. But I see very low probability that it will be changed prematurely- I think they will push the existing system and its network effects until the breaking point.

Similarly, I don't think many developing countries will develop under the current system either. In the past 50 years, only a handful of countries (mostly in Asia) have gone from developing to developed country status. It's like threading a needle. As long as countries issue their own ever-diluting currencies that their people use, and get funded externally in dollar-denominated debt that can be aggressively hardened or softened without any regard to the conditions in those countries (only the US), I think the rate of development will continue to be low. Ever-more energy usage per capita and the proliferation of semiconductors have been responsible for a lot of development, which offset some of these negative monetary effects, but for energy in particular I think that's going to be harder going forward.

Zapping Lyn for this

I’m a fan of yours Marty, but could you explain “…because the unreliable infrastructure is being heavily subsidized”. I do not understand wind/solar to be heavily subsidized especially in ERCOT. What are you referring to?

They are using facial recognition to arrest people? I hoped we were years away from this https://www.insider.com/woman-sues-detroit-alleges-falsely-arrested-pregnant-facial-recognition-2023-8

Family > Bitcoin > Everything Else

Generate your own energy

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

Some big media account on Twitter asked people what they think the best music album ever was, front to back.

While some albums are more iconic than others, the fascinating thing about the question is how it tends to be a sign of what era someone came of age in (i.e. which decade they grew up as a teenager), and what cultural part of that era they were more in line with. Sure, some people go back and find older iconic music and appreciate it the most, the absolute greats of the past, but the more typical outcome is that someone finds music from their coming-of-age years to be what somehow sticks out.

For me it was rock in the 2000s, and my mental answer to the question of "best album?" was Meteora by Linkin Park.

While it was a very popular album and also well-remembered, it doesn't generally go down on the ageless list of greats. In other words, it's always kind of a top two or three genre item. I could argue why other more iconic albums are better, and why they "should" be my answer. For example I could go a little bit before my time, but still close enough, and say Nirvana's Nevermind was better. That would poll better.

But basically, as a product of my time, Meteora is just the one that struck the right chords at the right time when I was a teenager. It's the one that spoke to me. I would listen to it casually, and then also listen to certain songs in it before martial arts tournaments to get myself in the combat zone. Even as my musical tastes changed over time, that's the album I listened to the most of all time, and so when I hear it in the present day, I still appreciate it a ton.

The fact that they crossed genres appealed to me a lot. Their main vocalist, Bennington, struck their melodic and emotional aspect. The other vocalist, Shinoda, was their hip-hop guy, with a rougher or more practical aspect. Mr. Hahn brought an electronic aspect, and Delson brought the rock guitar aspect. Some of their stylization was anime-aligned, and I was into anime at the time. Basically whatever vibes I might be feeling as a teenager at the time, there was something in Linkin Park that spoke to it, with Meteora being among their best and which came out at the right time when I was 15. It's like Bennington would speak to my emo aspect and help me acknowledge it, while Shinoda and the others would pump me back up, and tell me to not fuck around and get back out there, and boost my confidence. Yin and Yang.

Another reason I thought of this is that here in 2023, Linkin Park released a 20th anniversary edition of Meteora, which included a couple songs like "Lost" that didn't make it into the original. It all hits a bit harder for us fans based on the fact that the lead singer, Chester Bennington, is no longer with us. RIP.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7NK_JOkuSVY&ab_channel=LinkinPark

Anyway, I’m doing a series of “real thoughts” uniquely on Nostr, and this is the second one.

Conclusion: Sometimes what hits harder subjectively is worth appreciating, rather than just whatever can be argued to be the best objective answer. Somewhere on that border between "objectively good" and "came out at the right time and hit the spot for you and imprinted itself" is your answer that is worth exploring and sharing.

What's your answer?

Wu-Tang Clan - 36 Chambers

Iconic, influential, and holds up

Short answer yes, long answer mostly. It started as a means for plastics/oil companies to avoid responsibility of the waste they created, perpetuating the idea it could be reused even though they knew it could not be economically. It’s heart is in the right place, but for years in practice it was us sending stuff to China for them to throw away for us, to justify all the stuff we were buying from them.