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Loukas (They/Them) 🏳️‍⚧️
8aaa1670f0c7e5e081c9ccd587a94d5e8f8cdfffa5fdba84cec413979a14afa2
🌲MSc at Swedish university of agricultural sciences (Uppsala) 🏥Stockholm psychiatric health: board rep. for Autism Association

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk Thank you that's a really interesting insight. If the Ukranian advances can drain or hollow out the Russian forces while losing less themselves because of high vehicle survivability we might see some kind of collapse in the Russian line.

Replying to 04ecb81d...

nostr:npub1v22g4mu56nm2pajhhm9cpr6kepl6ep5zgy7ugqly2at2fm9j8dcq2atvsx jag tycker det är helt galet. Om du känner den person du ska granska eller göra en tuff intervju med privat (sådant händer) så ska en annan journalist ta över. Det handlar om trovärdighet.

Där jag jobbar skulle det aldrig accepteras att jag skulle sitta och vara småmysig och ”flexa” att jag känner en makthavare för att ”lyfta” mitt varumärke. Varken i text, ljud eller bild.

Den stora majoriteten av mina läsare är inte heller ”du” med makthavaren.

nostr:npub12x3kz2jef4xhajklsnsy58kqlfjqyh8ppk9yf3lkex5rx0ace9ksxvsz7h nostr:npub1v22g4mu56nm2pajhhm9cpr6kepl6ep5zgy7ugqly2at2fm9j8dcq2atvsx Precis, och så skulle jag säga det brukade vara inom public service när jag var där.

Replying to a857726e...

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3 nostr:npub1v22g4mu56nm2pajhhm9cpr6kepl6ep5zgy7ugqly2at2fm9j8dcq2atvsx

+1 Äckligt är var det är, när politiska nyheter framförs och hanteras som vilken nöjesnyhet som helst!

nostr:npub1rr797egwsf77k8wffzrz5th3xlghjsff6gxvtyg2qrnmwk057gcsueuwhd nostr:npub1v22g4mu56nm2pajhhm9cpr6kepl6ep5zgy7ugqly2at2fm9j8dcq2atvsx Ja, den snuttifiering av politik där inget anses stå på spel på riktigt eftersom en universalla perpektiv anses vara någon vit bekväm medelklass. Det är detta system som kunde inte hantera det när riktiga bruna krafter gjorde intrång i myshörnet.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

The significant shift that is happening, for sure, is that Ukrainian domestic production of both naval and aerial long range strike capability is developing to a point where the use of it can have material impact to the outcome. Keyword here is domestic: technically these capabilities existed before, but their use like this wasn't politically available.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta That is significant, and the fact this kind of development can happen partly through the use of commercially-available and civilian systems has implications for defence in general. The world becomes more of a collection of hedgehogs who are harder to successfully attack.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

Yom Kippur war. Soviet-Afghan war. PLA. IEDs against US military in all the Middle East conflicts. IRA. There is no qualitative shift. Perhaps a quantitative one, but even that is dubious. This is just the nature of asymmetric war and the development of technology during conflict.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta OK, well I think we're seeing a significant shift, but I understand my arguments have not convinced you.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

I understand that's what you're saying. I'm saying that has always been a feature of war. Small and comparatively weaker forces have, since the beginning of history, used raids to this effect against superior adversaries.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta yes and what we now see is a qualitative shift within this overall phenomenon. The American Revolutionaries tried to use a submarine to sink British ships 250 years ago. In a similar situation today they would have a much better chance.

Replying to Avatar Hteph

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3 Yep, I mean have you seen a Good Morning? have any of your friends?

If they claim they have, then you have found the CIA infiltrator!

nostr:npub1ewc45vku4vqf55kgpf590s9ng8jdynk7mzpz49a8lwtc52s249ms5y2j9a people just say it to you and expect it to be said back to them. Sounds like a cult.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

That's an interpretation, for sure. I would pick the far simpler one, though: with the ability for long range strikes developing, Ukraine is using them to try and make occupation of Crimea untenable even before the land war reaches Azov Sea. Meanwhile, they're also using the long range strike capability to russian territory to create political pressure against putin. I see no reason to doubt their stated objective of liberating all occupied territories.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta and the reason this is a clever strategy is that it achieves all of those things at once, as well as showing Ukrainians they can hit the occupiers and hence boost morale. Then Ukrainan command can pivot to any particular version of this strategy as events unfold.

nostr:npub1wyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2s66t407

Yes, the arrogance of those who think the UK market is important enough to drive versioning are going to be disappointed.

I always think we've been led astray by the willingness of motor manufacturers to put the driver wheel on our side.... forgetting that as Japan shared the standard, for them it was easy their expanding market share.

nostr:npub1g0tuf634rz4suczwj7kgnecr6cyt0eu9xmp3sp0fku68mqehq4msp3tvm4 nostr:npub1wyu5tn758hc399kq7z0gcf0s4tqxs8z8rn2me5672pnks4429s2s66t407 not to mention India, Indonesia, etc. The UK as regards driving is part of a 1.5 billion bloc. Like you say, I think those who expect the UK market as such to escape the EU's gravity are fooling themselves.

Replying to Avatar kravietz 🦇

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

Note among previous targets there were Chongar bridge, Crimea bridge, Dzhankoi railway hub. Ukraine seems to be consistently executing a plan, in this case severing Russian logistics for the southern group. The ships were a logical replacement for these bridges and now they aren't :)

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk it seems to me that one plank of Ukraine's current theory of victory is to advance to a point where they can place Crimea and its connections under enough fire to use it as a bargaining chip to get back the rest of Ukraine. So these attacks could be seen as Ukraine trying to carry out this kind of pressure even without having advanced much.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

Denial typically is easier than control in any domain, because control requires ability to prevent any disruptive action. Even in the land war, which favors the defender, if success is measured by ability to perform strikes, no minefield or trench line can control artillery.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta absolutely. The development I'm describing is a qualitative shift where even a far weaker adversary can still effect a lot of denial, as with Ukraine's non-navy naval war.

nostr:npub1hpcdfjpxrawnmu6ryh36ce7xu4qd54pu6xca394yhvmyzlery0tqvghjn3

Ukraine has no Navy as of today, while they do have an Air Force. That means the comparison isn't particularly apt - for a nation with no Navy, Ukraine is having a lot of success sinking or disabling high value naval targets.

I am waiting for the first news of a russian submarine promoted to a dive site.

nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta

nostr:npub1cscw5kknl3mwpqs8g8udnnwklzwpa2klfzl4wpumuwyjypppg5aset8pjk nostr:npub1vz555w0w7pdy3l9skg202lkdnjqll4ct67l25f68x2h84e7u7r4qmrqdta it's not a 1:1 comparison, but the development of a situation where denial is easier than control, in all the domains, really, is striking here. Unfortunately it implies a tendency towards stalemate, unless Russia experiences a political collapse.