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aidan
9a98e65b211f0a455b869ee06eec2a99b24315ce684530dc5e7db9899fb678e3
Wait, who gave you permission to do that?

I don’t necessarily disagree. Lyn didn’t say exactly what Napier thinks govt would do so I’m guessing what I think is the most common claim: they co-opt a few entities that control a large (and growing) portion of the UTXO set and either outright seize it, or do something else like a forced fork onto ā€œgov chainā€.

Maybe that’s not the angle. But if it is, how does the likes of Nostr combat it effectively?

And if it’s not the govt angle, what would it be?

ETFs/Coinbase and Microstrategy at the present time.

I see how our enhanced abilities to coordinate these days help much in the scenario where a government decides to go after these large blocks of UTXOs controlled by a handful of entities.

Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

Russell Napier is one of my favorite macro analysts that I've learned a lot from over the years. Had the chance to meet him at a dinner the other day and discuss macro with him.

Him and I often have similar macro views and a focus on the topic of fiscal dominance and the financial repression that follows. But an area of historic difference is that he has viewed Bitcoin as unlikely to win. He has viewed it as something that governments will ultimately not allow to function once the gloves come off and financial repression gets real from the major powers.

So I discussed that with him, since while I acknowledge that threat as being real, I think Bitcoin is a solid foundation to push back with. But in addition, I also highlighted Nostr, and decentralized comms and social media in general.

Back in the 1930s-1940s when the US banned gold ownership and implemented yield curve control (hard core financial repression), information moved slowly. A lot of information was one-directional. It was hard for people to coordinate with each other at large scales.

But social media changes the game entirely. People can meme about it in real time. Government and central bank social media accounts can get ratio'd. Maybe one day they'll try to put a stop to that on centralized social media platforms, but that's why the decentralized protocols are so important. The tools are simply much better today, making that type of smooth and coordinated financial repression harder to do since all of their reasons can be dissected and dunked on in real time.

What precisely is it about improved coordination that negates the financial repression tools which Napier claims will destroy Bitcoin?

I believe we need to make it sufficiently difficult for the government to control large swathes of the UTXO set to avoid what happened to gold, but I don’t quite see how better/faster communication tools help very much there.

It’s really amazing. The interesting thing to me is that I get it now more than ever— even though I run shorter distances and with less intensity than I used to.

I’m wondering if it is down to me skimming more information than ever from Nostr and X, which ultimately gives me more information to work with when in that higher functioning mode.

Total speculation and it contradicts what you’re suggesting to some extent, but it’s interesting to me.

When I go for a jog these days, I’ve noticed a large amount of increased insight and clarity of thought in recent years. Feels like my IQ goes up a full 5 points.

Not sure if the below effect is setting a lower bar to rise from and it’s basically a wash, or if I’m spending more time accumulating a broad range of things that are more effectively synthesized when the blood is flowing in my brain.

nostr:note1x5yj0jpwrtc80clxahp0lwcnnmzxjc63rgntawvg9ceh4q6kpxcqtd90ls

I don’t mind well targeted ads for businesses that I want to support.

If a site’s ads are onerous or low quality, I’m unlikely to return.

There’s the occasional exception where I use archive.is

Ok, this was funny.

I think so. I would make two bets about where we’ll be in 10 years and am trying to figure out the implications:

- Block space will be massively more valuable than today, as tools built around digital permanence become more prevalent. Almost all monetary transactions will be fully ā€˜packed / joined’ with many inputs and outputs, which spam transactions of today don’t need to compete with.

- Mining will be massively more decentralized than today making it harder/more costly to route around nodes.

I dont think the second one matters so much as it relates to spam, as we only need a small minority of nodes to propagate transactions based on likelihood of mining vs a qualitative assessment of what’s inside, in order for it to be mined.

Bitcoin == sats in UTXOs

Digital permanency == encoded bytes in UTXOs

For bitcoin it’s early days, but it’s even earlier for digital permanency. As utility of encoded bytes rises, spam will be priced out.

- I’m quite angry about men competing in women’s sport worldwide

- I’m frustrated that in the USA, the DNC have lost their mind and are normalizing extremism against those on the right

- I’m very worried that many European countries have set in motion a slow moving but inexorable path to Islamic authoritarianism

You come across like a scolding 16 year old.

Apps crash must less these days now that most are written in Swift and Kotlin.

Lots of other things go wrong and what used to result in a crash often results in something else going awry for the user.

But 3rd party crash reporting companies should start thinking about doing something else.

Oh, it came out in 2019. Disqualified 😭

The world will get better with Bitcoiners continuing to do their thing in various ways despite your black pilling.