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ae1008d23930b776c18092f6eab41e4b09fcf3f03f3641b1b4e6ee3aa166d760
Purple-Pilled Pleb๐Ÿฆพ

9:90 is beautiful

Thank you

Classic chart; seen it for years

Nots not perfect but its a close enough gauge to be in the ballpark

USA govt. forking Bitcoin, saying its new version of Bitcoin is for store of value, not P2P electronic cash

I've been thinking about writing a paper on this

Replying to Avatar L0la L33tz

David Bailey just posted the draft for an executive order for the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve under Trump โ€“ and it's an absolute nightmare for anyone using bitcoin as money.

First, the draft order defines Bitcoin as "a finite store-of-value asset, akin to digital gold."

As someone who has lived on Bitcoin for a fairly long time, I can say that Bitcoin is not merely a "store-of-value asset", but a money for payment and day to day purchases.

Defining Bitcoin as a "store-of-value asset" reinforces the ossification narrative (who needs to move a stonk several times in a day?) which may put developers at risk when prioritizing changes to btc to make it more usable as money (think scaling for example).

With this definition, a softfork to activate covenants may become an issue of US national security that goes against the US' definition of its primary goals - directly putting developers in the firing line of the United States Government.

The draft states that federal agencies, such as the US Marshall's Service, may not auction seized Bitcoin off, but must contribute them to the strategic reserve.

This not only reduces the Bitcoin in circulation available to the public, but additionally sets the incentive for the US to increase its seizing efforts โ€“ think increased AML/KYC.

While I'm no fan of the strategic reserve in general, this draft is an even bigger disappointment than Sen. Lummis' proposed Bitcoin Act.

To compare this to how El Salvador has implemented Bitcoin, which I admit I initially wasn't a fan of either, ES directly gives citizens rights to use Bitcoin as money - which is a huge upside to benefit the people, and not just the national security state.

No offense, but letting a couple of children that just graduated college and a guy who runs a magazine draft US policy is a scene straight out of idiocracy.

Next time, maybe try speaking to the people actually building and using bitcoin, not just to the boomers and national security goons that sit on the money like a fat kid at the cake buffet.

Incredibly unprofessional conduct here by BPI, a huge risk to anyone using Bitcoin for anything other than an investment, and a testament to the people involved being more interested in furthering their own importance than to empower people with a money without state.

Sincerely hope that this EO is drastically challenged on all levels and hopefully somehow deemed unconstitutional to protect btc and the people developing it.

Drunk posts create legacies

Replying to Avatar lemon

Thatโ€™s what I was thinking if people are into it

Hoping I can use something like nostr:npub1l2vyh47mk2p0qlsku7hg0vn29faehy9hy34ygaclpn66ukqp3afqutajft โ€˜s honeypot wallet as a plugin to my app so I can generate cashu tokens and then embed the token into memes as a service on Gifbuddy ๐Ÿคž

Iโ€™m pretty sure we can even lock the token to an npub so you can post memes with tokens to be redeemed by specific people; almost like tipping on their profile, but more fun because itโ€™s a meme and can be shared anywhere

Could reference everyone's LUD-16 too. If no lightning@address then can lock to their npub

Truly shocked how many people are scared to buy/sell sats in person.

What are you so afraid of? You're around friends and you're "scared" to P2P? Guess you don't see them as friends.

NGMI

No, been here since the first epoch

In all seriousness;

I'm being extreme on the bullishness. My real vision is we don't go through ~$300k this cycle, and we see ~$70k again (its how the three year waves go from fresh ATH, to new "depressing low" [like your example above])

We'll see ~$70k in '26, maybe even #58KGang (one can only hope)

Will be happy if wrong

I for sure hope I am so so dead wrong

But a bulltard is always right, eventually

No, but that is def guaranteed tech too.

I'm thinking moreso semiconductor manufacturing will be cheaper than ammo manufacturing, therefore using semiconductor components as the ammo itself

You can easily overvolt a capacitor and have it "shoot" out a barrel with a lot of force

I agree with this. As long as you dump whatever you just received into sats, idc how you get paid

Extreme examplr; I'm not a fan but I respect the shitcoin traders whose sole goal is to short the shitcoin and pump the Bitcoin

I honestly thought many folks are self-employed entrepreneurs demanding Bitcoin exclusively for their work. I was sadly mistaken. That list is extremely small I'm now realizing

I'm confused by that note

Replying to Avatar vnprc

I just finished reading Bitcoin Mining Economics by Daniel Frumkin. It's a good read! My biggest takeaway is that large mining farms are the Ghost of Bitcoin Past. Convertible debt offerings to buy bitcoin are the Ghost of Bitcoin Present. Smaller, more distributed mining is the Ghost of Bitcoin Future. Here's why.

Large mining operations are simply not profitable to run on a bitcoin standard. They never have been. After you spend all the capital to buy machines, site hosting, cooling infrastructure, and power purchase agreements (PPAs) you start your business of accumulating bitcoin deep in the red. In order to reach net positive profits you have to dig out of this debt hole AND earn a profit on top of it.

But ASICs depreciate rapidly and network difficulty continually explodes upward so mining farms are working against a very significant headwind. They are racing to accumulate a bitcoin stockpile before their investment depreciates. Frumkin runs the numbers, it almost never works out in real terms. You pretty much always get to keep more bitcoin in the long run by simply buying and holding with that upfront capital.

So why are there so many large mining farms? Because of fiat debt financing models. If you can get someone else to loan you the dollars to build out a farm you can win in the long run thanks to Gresham's Law.

It's the same fiat game every intelligent investor with an appetite for risk is playing. Get as much fiat denominated debt at the best terms possible that you can service without defaulting. Use that money to accumulate assets that increase in value. Denominate your liabilities in a depreciating unit of account and transfer all your wealth into appreciating assets. This is how the Cantillionaires benefit from the money printer. It's a story older than bitcoin, but the strategy is turbocharged with bitcoin's unbelievably rapid price appreciation.

This model has worked for 10 years with mining farms because the big money was too stupid to just buy and hold bitcoin. They weren't comfortable with this risky new asset. They wanted to see a business model with cashflow, financial prospectus, and, most importantly, assets to hold as collateral.

That's all changing now. Saylor has upended the model. Now, even mining farms are skipping the mining part and jumping straight to the Saylor strategy. Today Riot, operator of the largest mining farm in the world, announced they are raising half a billion dollars. Are they investing in ASICs? More mining sites? Research and development? lol not a chance. They are buying bitcoin. The dumb money phase is over. Smart money wins from here on out.

What does this mean for the mining industry? I don't have a crystal ball but I think a good educated guess is that the largest bitcoin mining farms will stop getting larger. The business of paying for electricity solely to mine bitcoin is going away. Bitcoin mining will enter an era where the only profitable way to mine is to make use of it's positive externalities: exhaust heat, demand response, and stranded energy.

The future is putting an ASIC in every water heater and HVAC unit. ASICs in every windmill and solar panel. ASICs on every oil well flare stack. ASICs on every new nuclear plant, but only until demand ramps up and a higher paying customer displaces them.

The declining block subsidy will reinforce this trend. As mining becomes less profitable, only the miners who don't rely on mining profits will survive.

In a nutshell: decentralization is coming. I am so fucking here for it.

nostr:note1cq6l5394e5lx6wcd7q3yt608ux2wrftyav9amzpm7kpscneljdgq4454da

The variation of mining hardware is going to be wilddd

Just wait until most of the products you buy at big box stores contain miners in various products (water heaters, space heaters, etc.)

To my knowledge still, yes. Would need to confirm. Don't see why he would leave being such a pivotal member of the team๐Ÿ’œ

I've made more purchasing power by sitting on my hands than actually trying to generate returns

Please disappear when you have the means to

Your Ego cannot stand the gains that you generated.