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Auveki Garten Node
de6ef23aea014d0981b15f7eefe81b1297da59823fdc1855810097f1e1523f14
Adventuring into places known and unknown.

This was my big reframe of 2025:

"Bitcoin doesn't have A purpose. Bitcoin enables purposes."

It changed the direction of many conversations - in unexpected wonderful ways. I hope to share and learn other small nuanced thinking hacks from this bitcoin-nostr mind-hive in 2026. Happy New Year 🔥

Replying to Avatar Amboss

Lightning Network 2025 Stats: Year in Review ⚡️📊

Across metrics, Lightning showed robust growth with all the hallmarks of health and strength with its expansion.

2025 set a solid foundation for Bitcoin's MoE proliferation in the years ahead.

Let the data show you👇

1/ Lightning Capacity ATH

More Bitcoin is moving onto the #LightningNetwork.

Capacity contracted in early 2025, then reversed in August to close the year at record highs.

Users continued committing BTC to Lightning, countering downward BTC price pressure.

2/ Lightning Increased Concentration

Early in 2025, the network pruned smaller, inactive channels.

While there were fewer connections, the average channel size grew, enabling larger payments.

Lightning is evolving from many small roads → fewer highways for higher throughput.

3/ New Channels Signal High Conviction

New channel opens (in sats) show a clear strengthening trend.

• Channel opens intensified throughout the year in size and number

• Capacity moved into fewer, higher-quality channels

Liquidity is being strategically deployed: fewer, larger channels support bigger payments. The trend indicates more confidence in peers and the protocol.

4/ Channel Closures Look Healthier

In 2025:

• Mutual closes grew modestly (healthy close)

• Force closes bursted then fell slightly

• Penalty closes were rare (only 7)

Pruning in action:

Forced closes involved smaller (and likely inactive) channels, preceding large channel opens (pruning)

Mutual closes indicate higher network and protocol stability.

With smarter channel openings (AI-optimized) and a mature protocol, force closes reduce over time.

5/ Cost-Conscious Network Growth

Lightning grew at low cost in 2025:

• Node operators deployed large amounts of capital

• Low on-chain fees supported these deployments

• Low setup costs enabled higher profit possibilities

Flat channel fees plus rising capacity signal a prudent network with maturing structure.

6/ Magma surged while LINER remained steady

Magma, the liquidity marketplace, grew more established in 2025, providing more liquidity pricing data to LINER:

• More decentralized liquidity

• Deeper market (60 BTC)

• Automated Liquidity

• Private channel purchases increased (incl. via Alby)

Marketplace volume made LINER a more accurate yield indicator.

7/ The node graph tells a story

Nodes grew +2.37% YTD, but the journey was notable:

• Early 2025: many channels were closed with a sharp decline of nodes around June/July

• Later in the year: larger capacity channels were opened

What do you think drove the 2025 node growth?

8/ The big picture

2025 laid the groundwork for scale.

• Bigger channels

• Healthier channel lifecycles

• Deeper liquidity markets

• Larger payment possibilities

The network strengthened its foundations amid rapid growth.

#LightningNetwork is maturing, now positioned for larger, higher-volume payments.

Explore the data behind this thread →

https://amboss.space/stats

love seeing this!

reading old Marschal McLuhan transcripts... this quote twisted my mind today: "Organized ignorance can be a great asset when approaching the unfamiliar"

Fun to see this. I have been facinated by Sagan and his call for scientic and media literacy since 1997. I share this from my 2002 thesis paper to extend your wonderful post:

"...Carl Sagan even speaks of the darker side of science when he refers to the atrocious cruelties of Nazi doctors and of opportunistic scientists willing to create sources of corporate profit and weapons of mass destruction (1995, pp. 11). However, this is not to say that science did not affect morality because it does. Aldous Huxley’s comment provides an interesting insight to its affect:

“Thus the city-dwelling factory worker may belong, biologically speaking to a more progressive group than does the peasant; but it does not follow that he will find it easier to be happy, good and creative. The peasant is confronted by one set of obstacles and handicaps; the industrial worker another set. Technological progress does not abolish obstacles; it merely changes their nature.” (Huxley, 1992) " - Auveki

This seems correct in extreme times of external stress. At the same time it sounds to narrow and archaic for the good times. Perhaps good strong men get shit DONE and good strong women ensure the men do not destroy the network of community relationships.

Replying to Avatar Michael Wilkins

Over the past few days, I’ve been involved in a long debate about #Bitcoin, #money, and #economic growth. Below summarises the debate outside of the comments we have had back and forth.

What became clear is that most disagreements about Bitcoin are not really about Bitcoin.

They are about which economic framework you start from.

Two schools of thought

Most modern economics taught in universities today is derived from Keynesian and neo-Keynesian models.

In this framework:

• Money is a policy tool.

• Credit expansion is necessary for growth.

• Debt is not a problem if it funds activity.

• Inflation is tolerated, even encouraged, to stimulate spending.

• Economic health is measured primarily through GDP.

Within this model, a fixed supply monetary system looks dangerous.

If money cannot expand, the assumption is that growth will stall, liquidity will dry up, and the system will collapse under its own weight.

This is why many people instinctively conclude that Bitcoin “cannot work” as money.

There is another school of thought, often referred to as classical or Austrian economics, which starts from different assumptions. This is where Bitcoiners sit.

In this framework:

• Money is a measuring tool, not a control mechanism.

•Growth comes from productivity, innovation, and efficient coordination of capital.

• Credit should emerge from real savings, not monetary expansion.

• Inflation distorts price signals and transfers wealth.

• Falling prices due to productivity are a feature, not a failure.

From this perspective, a fixed or hard monetary base is not a limitation.

It is a discipline.

Why universities teach what they teach

Modern states operate on debt-based monetary systems. Governments, banks, and institutions depend on the ability to expand the money supply.

It is therefore not surprising that:

• Economic models that justify managed money dominate academia.

• Models that limit state discretion are treated as historical or impractical.

• Monetary failure is usually framed as “policy error,” not systemic design.

This doesn’t require malice or conspiracy.

Systems tend to teach what sustains them.

Historical evidence is often misread

Empires did not collapse because money was “too hard.”

They collapsed because money was debased.

• Rome did not fall under a fixed monetary system. It progressively reduced silver content in its coinage to fund military and state spending. Trust eroded, prices rose, and economic coordination broke down.

• Weimar Germany did not fail due to hard money, but due to rapid monetary expansion to service war debts.

• Zimbabwe did not collapse because of sanctions alone. Monetary issuance was used to paper over structural collapse, destroying the currency.

• Time and again, monetary expansion is used as a short-term solution that creates long-term instability.

Hard money systems did not “fail.”

They were abandoned when political constraints became inconvenient.

Where Bitcoin fits

Bitcoin does not ban credit.

It bans base-layer monetary manipulation.

Its base layer is slow by design because it prioritises final settlement, not throughput. This is not new. Gold functioned the same way for centuries. Higher layers always emerged on top of sound settlement layers.

Bitcoin separates:

• Money from policy

• Settlement from payments

• Value storage from discretionary issuance

When people argue that Bitcoin must adopt inflation, tail emissions, or permanent issuance to “support growth,” they are assuming growth must come from monetary expansion.

Bitcoin challenges that assumption.

It forces growth to come from:

• Better coordination

• Better incentives

• Better productivity

Why the disagreement persists

If you believe:

• Money must be managed

• Growth requires issuance

• Stability comes from flexibility

Bitcoin looks flawed.

If you believe:

• Money should constrain power

• Growth should reflect reality

• Stability comes from rules

Bitcoin looks inevitable.

This is not a debate about intelligence, credentials, or good intentions.

It is a debate about what money is allowed to do.

Bitcoin did not create this disagreement.

It simply made it impossible to ignore.

insightful. Thanks. At the end of the post - I could but help think about E.F. Schumacher's - convergent vs divergent - problem types. Chaos.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqpwjpz65ahncyxxfxujzmazesdud9ad580zpqk647jcenfham0mcqqs9mfzw7seluakel7xzfwthxrgzsrg7j0hej64em0ure3hdscxy9sshljmn6

It seems so obvious, but I con't to struggle to wrap it up as a warm cozy blanket as the snow storm rages outside.

In another Bitcoin podcast today. I am hit with with the mantra: "Don't trust, verify"

By 2016 then matra started to edge me, in way that I could not speak it outloud anymore. Something is off.

Bitcoin verification doesn't access external truth is were I am stuck at. At best it It may create a "consensual domain" through shared operation. There is always a point of trust - just deeper away lost in abstraction in some git repo.

The best re-framing I have is the following:

1. First-order reading: "Don't trust, verify" = Replace trust with verification

2. Second-order reading: "Don't trust, verify" = Use verification to create trustworthy results

3. ????

currently working on this 3rd articulation. Shared ideas are welcomed.

"Effective Bitcoin Citizenry" vs " "Effective Bitcoin Global Citizenry" "

What is your first reaction to these phrases?

- Too WEF?

- Does it resonate as a positive?

- Does it evoke optimism or skepticism?

I tried to investigate into this notion in my latest field-note: 5 Core Learning Processes.

Teaching Bitcoin can be deceptively hard - the common tactic "just tell them the facts" has been a slippery slope in my experience..

Thoughts?

There is a difference --> understanding vs knowing

Bitcoin understanding vs knowing has a distinction that I want to learn more about in 2026. I think nostr is the perfect environment.