I thought it might surprise to the downside, but it didn’t.

Regardless, nothing has changed for me from a macro standpoint.

I expect economic growth, inflation, and global M2 to all mildly accelerate from here, which is generally good for risk assets and should be fantastic for bitcoin.

lol... my CPI guess was... wrong!

Core Inflation Rate MoM: 0.3% vs 0.2% (forecast) and 0.3% (prior)

Core Inflation Rate YoY: 3.3% vs 3.2% (forecast) and 3.3% (prior)

Inflation Rate MoM: 0.2% vs 0.1% (forecast) and 0.2% (prior)

Inflation Rate YoY: 2.4% vs 2.3% (forecast) and 2.5% (prior)

#macro

That's what I get for making (another) public prediction. 😂

Ironically, my expectations for the USD, interest rates, risk assets, and #bitcoin may actually work out over the coming days/weeks because of another important data point...

Initial Jobless Claims: 258k vs 230k (forecast) and 225k (prior)

This gives the Fed the ongoing excuse to lower the Fed Funds rate as they turn their attention from inflation to employment.

Regardless, that was fun.

Onwards. ⚡

nostr:note1thhtvw0k3w7gyvu3g3xg7qu04mv8d0fec83cf42uaq8xunw0v4ksdd664v

STATUS UPDATE: Bullish. 🐂

Proud to announce I launched my personal coaching business this week - FRDM MVMNT

1- I’m accepting Bitcoin payments via nostr:npub1cwneqlnjgs3rdtk97c2ffy2df9dm5zycgj3dsg8c3z00hchxjmfqtvraju

2- I’m chronicling the journey here on Nostr

3- I’m offering #sauna and #coldplunge as well as Strength & Conditioning for men looking to build decentralized Health and to break free from the “matrix” of main stream disease.

Www.frdmmvmnt.com

The professional side of me is fully focused on finance. It’s tiring, but I’m there every day.

The Nostr Lyn side of me keeps broadening her timeframe and keeps getting pulled to write a science fiction or fantasy novel, at this point, with all sorts of character arcs and cultural symbolism tied in. Which is almost too long of a time preference.

I wonder if a side hobby is what is needed to keep me focused on my main work. I used to have hobbies years ago, but the extreme environment of 2020-2022 kind of killed them as things went crazy and I did nothing but work. During 2023 and 2024 I explored if I should have hobbies again, but I kept focused on work, and here now I’ve determined that I should explore more.

I boosted my exercise, traveled the world, and re-explored video games. But the video games didn’t stick. Re-exploring my older writing is sticking.

Lately I’ve been trying to explore hobbies, to replicate a normal human. And writing weird sci fi or fantasy is what keeps me engaged.

Good morning! Uncle is taking a break from social media, but with BTC hitting $53K, I thought I'd drop in with some positive energy and sats for you - I'm zapping every reply 🫂

Sometimes I think this way and then I remind myself that all of the best things in life are cheap or free. Trips to the ice cream shop, playing at the park. Hiking. Biking as a family, going to get a hamburger and fries etc…

Kids don’t need trips to Europe or whatever. That’s shit that adults want. Kids like regular life.

You also don’t know what unseen benefits being marginally poorer are providing you.

For instance I could have bought a home with a bedroom for every kid and probably still will at some point. But the bunk beds and shared bedrooms my kids have increase their bonding when they’re young making it likely for them to be closer when they’re older.

TLDR Hodl

You said forever. Time to mean it.

This is a rough cycle. Mentally as far as I'm concerned we haven't had a a bull market since 2017. 7 years of meaningless chop ....as always there's light at the end of the tunnel, but just when I think we're reaching the end, we round another corner.

Not sure if other hodlers are like me, but I find it difficult to live in the moment. I do my best, but it's almost as if my life is on hold until we have a raging bull market. There are places I want to travel, a home I want to build, but instead I'm stacking and waiting, and the years are going by.

My first child was born around the last bull market, I've spent the majority of their life obsessed with bitcoin, stacking sats, and waiting for our "real life" to start. I still think I've been a good husband and father, but I know I could be better. Unable to ever fully be present, that nagging hope of a better future always in the back of my mind.

As bitcoin cascades down today in yet another liquidation wick, I can't help but reflect on the past. Perhaps we're all destined to be Moses, wandering the desert for 40 years, the imperfect saviors of our individual tribes. We'll be remembered, but only our children will ever reach the promise land. Could be worse I suppose. I still don't think that's very likely, I think we very well might be rounding that final corner of the tunnel, but I'm trying to come to terms with the fact that that might not be true. Perhaps there's another 33 years of wandering.

What helps me get through is focusing on today and not tomorrow or yesterday. Not being present is robbing you of your happiness today. Lower your time preference. Stack sats and forget about them and keep attacking your fiat life and make strides. Let the sats you've accumulated be the icing on the cake down the road instead of the entire cake itself. Your descendants will look back and thank you for it.