Security is always going to be inversely proportional to convenience. The need for security is proportional to social trust. In low stakes, high trust environments, low friction solutions will flourish. In high stakes, low trust environments, self-custody will be the default.

I say this all the time. But I think one of the problems is a lot of bitcoiners are in a low trust, high stakes mindset at all times, and believe everyone else should be to. This leads to a bit of confusion to how things are going to play out, in aggregate.

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It’s also a confusion of product and protocol prios. Protocol should be designed for the zero trust, highest stakes sovereign individual as a first class citizen. That’s what keeps things permissionless and decentralized, ensuring free market economic incentives. Holds true at the bitcoin layer and the LN layer.

If you’re designing product for low trust, zero stakes sovereign individuals otoh, good luck 😅 small, tough market! Much better to meet high trust, low stakes, large user cohorts where they are and provide a convenient abstraction over the raw protocol.

Yeah. I think I strongly agree with everything you just said.

🤝

Oops, in second paragraph should be “zero** trust, highest** stakes”, not “low trust, zero stakes”

Yeah. I think my brain auto-corrected and got the point.

Also, the mere existence of easily accessible self-custody, changes the incentive structures of custodial solutions pretty dramatically, and makes breaches of trust, existential reputational risks.

💯

Not an excuse to not prioritize self-custody as a first class citizen at the protocol layer! But def an important check that I wish people considered when catastrophizing about custodial product usage.

Correct. At TBD, we are prioritizing self-custody solutions.

Love to see it

What happens to zaps when custodial Lightning services bend the knee and start doing shotgun KYC?

It's weird to me that people think the average person is going to demand anonymity from first-principles. What about the behavior of the average person leads people to think that incentives tilt so heavily in that direction?

So there will be only custodial Lightning services, full KYC/AML (average user) and then those who run their own Lightning nodes (the freaks)?

Is that how you see this ends up?

Are we unintentionally building a digital financial panopticon for the average user, but over Lightning?

Would you buy a diamond ring from an anonymous merchant, in a no-recourse economic transaction, where you and the seller did not reveal personal identifying information about each other? I think such a transaction would be extremely risky.

third parties are chargeback providers

for everything else there’s anonymous transactions

ngl, you kinda looked like a guy who didn’t take the receipt when you ordered a coffee

How does this chargeback provider function without holding provenance information on identity and reputation?

Good question, I don’t know.

When tipping your post, why should KYC be required to use custodial services? (see bottlepay history)

If your response is average people don’t care, then we’re not doing them any favors by allowing it to happen.

Business have regs to follow, and as predicted by many, these regs are changing in an unfavorable way toward Bitcoin.

If an individual running their own Lightning node gets blocked from purchasing coffees from a merchant that only accepts Lightning from a Lightning KYC/AML only provider, then not only does the spirit of Jack Mallers die, but we might as well start unplugging all the nodes because we lost the plot.

Can we just set KYC/AML laws and regulations off to the side for a second, and really just focus on the implications of an economy in which most economic transactions are mostly anonymous. I'm just trying to focus in on what the potential implications within the private sphere are here, and considering how the increased risk trade offs would actually have very undesirable economic costs, due to extremely high transactional loss rates. And then trying to understand why anyone would believe that an ethical position around privacy would prevail in the face of these negative economic incentives.

The fact you are admitting you don't have an answer in the first sentence, suggests to me that your vision of the likely future may not be as cleverly thought through as you might have first thought.

Oh, I was being nice. And trying to encourage conversation. I was not trying to assume anything about your questions or statements.

I have thought it out. Conventional commerce will continue. Maybe repetition brokers will be more distributed in the future.

Where can I read more about “extremely high transactional loss rates”? I’m only comparing the privacy issue to what a cash forward society might have looked like, before the more paper trail financial technologies were invented. What impact did having less cash transactions have on a society with regard to loss rate?

I mean, I work in an industry where I see fraudsters making off with people’s money all the time. Usually by pretending to be people who they aren’t. This results in the loss of billions of dollars from individuals, businesses and payment processors. The idea that they costs wouldn’t go up in a world where everyone presented themselves as anonymous or pseudo-anonymous to each other, strains credulity for me. And if fraud losses go up, then prices and effective transaction costs will, too.

If you pretend to be me, how would you spend my sats if I’m running my own Lightning node?

I'm not sure I'm following the point of the hypothetical?

You’re claiming anonymous or pseudo-anonymous actors bring in more fraud risk, correct? So when dealing with Lightning how would you introduce more fraud? I thought it actually might reduce the fraud you mentioned, that of when a retailer is paid with a fraudulent transaction by someone pretending to be someone else.

Relying on payment technology, rather than ID technology may actually do a better job at reducing the fraud, because you can’t pretend to be me and buy gas with my sats if I’m running my own Lightning node.

Stick with the e-commerce use case. In person payments are one thing. Obviously, cash is an anonymous system, and that works fine for in-person retail payments. But go back to the diamond ring example. How do you safely buy something like that anonymously, without extreme risk of rugpulls in the form of non-delivery of goods or services?

A bills of lading model is the best I’ve been able to come up with for this problem. Know third party carriers facilitating the anonymous transactions for a fee.

Why will the average person jump through such hoops?

They probably won’t, they will likely use conventional methods.

If people find value in anonymous transactions, they will continue to work on those efforts.

Then we agree.

A normies default state is high trust maximum convenience. This unfortunately leads them down very bad paths during their journey to learn.

The funny thing also is that trust is given to corporations and anonymous influencers but is reduced when talking with a person face to face.

This is not malicious intent, but rather a habit born from society. It's no wonder that Bitcoiners jump to the opposite extreme, and even after they normalise, they must promote the extreme security model for newbies to be help improve the outcome of their journey.

I just don't think there's going to be a great awakening, here, where everyone's priority becomes to be as self-sovereign as possible. Back in my AnCap days, I convinced myself that people would all reach this conclusion once the contradictions of the system played out. I no longer think that. I think the modern state can exist in a state of contradictions, adapting to shocks and cultural changes, in perpetuity. It doesn't ever have to reconcile down to a self-consistent model. It just has to maintain an ability to adapt.

I think "maintaining the ability to adapt" has limits. The shocks that hit the system COULD all be small enough to stay within those adaptation limits. Or not.

Most people get caught out by hyperinflation historically. Why? Because they simply don’t pay attention.

Humans are titled very heavily towards low time preference behaviors. And I don't think you breed that out of people simply by dreaming up normative ethical systems, and selling them as moral truths.

It is for a good reason though. It’s the ability to do it otherwise will make custodial services act good. Including law makers.

Besides, little bit of lightning never hurt anyone :)

Not sure we're in disagreement, here?

Perhaps not

Futrospect of all the possible outcomes (otherwise) keeps things on a straight line.

Yes. Futrospect.