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Mike Brock
b9003833fabff271d0782e030be61b7ec38ce7d45a1b9a869fbdb34b9e2d2000
Unfashionable.

The Standford Alpaca 7B large language model they released last week seems like a big deal. It points to the near-term possibility of running an LLM of similar power to ChatGPT offline -- on your phone or laptop, without the need for a cloud.

Suggests there's going to be ways to use these models and get utility ... and do it in a decentralized way, that doesn't involve surveillance capitalism!

I wouldn't say I'm okay with Scrivener per se. I haven't really tried any of the alternatives, so I'm not sure what I might be missing in terms of better tools.

Who am I to argue with ChatGPT? (Note: I do argue with ChatGPT from time to time). #[0]

What you know is what you pay attention to. If you only read arguments that confirm your existing view, the likelihood you are wrong about a lot of things, is very high.

I think we actually disagree, here. Fundamentally. I think all complex systems are, at best, metastable. Only adaptive systems are able to persist for long periods of time. I can think of nothing in nature — literally nothing — that is absolutely stable. Except maybe the proton. Which still may be unstable, and the only reason we haven’t seen a decay event, could be because the proton’s half-life is some major multiple of the age of the universe or something.

But for social and economic systems, my base rate assumption, is they exist within metastability windows, and no set of rules or axioms can maintain their stability indefinitely. Eventually the second law of thermodynamics will rear its ugly head in every system.

Does "real" stability actually exist, in nature, though?

Replying to Avatar ⚡️🌱🌙

I don’t think such an all satisfying circumstance exists even in theory.

Take the poor libertarian, a true libertarian must be content to live under a none libertarian system because their countrymen don’t want libertarianism and it’s anti libertarian to make non libertarians live in a libertarian system.

Libertarianism is trapped in a paradox and can’t win, which is why it never has.

Similarly anarchocapitalism lacks the organising structures necessary to protect its anarchocapitalism state from any emergent government. Anarchocapitalism is extremely vulnerable to any kind of emergent government, it is to submit all the necessary tools to defeat the one thing you seek to defeat. It’s another paradox and again is why anarchy never lasts long. Someone always fills the vacuum even if by accident.

These are just two examples, but communism too has its own paradoxes that make it unattainable. Communism with no democracy and no free market has no means whatsoever of determining the desires or the will of the people it purposes to represent so perfectly. A paradox that makes functional communism unattainable.

Monarchy actually does what it says, as do dictatorships, whereas democracies usually morph into stable oligopolies which sounds bad but is probably the cleanest dirty shirt.

For me the structure of government and the policies and strategies of a government are two completely different things. These are just various structures and in theory they could all implement the same policies.

I largely agree with what you're saying -- I think. And also relates to why as a former anarcho-capitalist, I'm a born against liberal democracy guy. Because I think the best solution is how we mediate the existence of structure through the interface with authority in an organized society. It's really about the management of incentives towards what one might describe is trying to maximize the subjective experience of the "good life" amongst as many people as possible.

Which sounds utilitarian -- and is, to a certain extent. But alas, I'm a moral constructionist, and I have epistemological objections to taking even that construct too far beyond the surface-level point.

Replying to Avatar ⚡️🌱🌙

Anarchism is zero government, no rule of law.

Plenty of Westerners take their libertarianism to this extreme, but I saw the Iraq war and I never, ever want to experience anything like civil collapse. Ever.

As the Iraqi’s used to say to news crews… When you lose security you have lost everything, all of your freedoms are worth nil. They actually wanted to bring back Saddam and his murderous police squads because anarchy was worse.

In reality anarchism means fighting off gangs of armed rapists and child traffickers every time the sun goes down. I’m too old for that, and I’m not that old.

So long as there are parents, there will be government. Social orders weren’t created by megalomaniacs seeking to enslave people, they were set up by parents wanting to protect their kids. Villages, elders, kings, federations, governments. It’s just the necessary math to protect kids from bad people. Once you have that apparatus in place it can get Co-opted by politics, but if any government ever waivers in keeping kids safe parents storm the palace.

Law and order is a huge improvement over uncontrolled malevolence.

Ideologically this is much messier and fuzzy than the simplicity of anarchocapitalism, but it’s probably right that we have some kind of incompetent muddling class v’s 2003 Iraq.

Bitcoin is just better money. It can’t be compromised, nobody can pressure their own bailout. It’s beyond corruption. It forces proper behaviour, because there is no second chance, no extra life. That means no screwing over working families every 15 years to keep some sleazy banking class afloat. Eventually parents will want Bitcoin and that will be that.

Not to be pendant, but I think it's important to acknowledge the distinction between philosophical anarchism (which would probably accurately characterize a lot of my views) and political anarchism, which is six-ways from Sunday batshit crazy in almost all of its forms.

Replying to Avatar StackSats.IO

Anarchism describes my view set, and I’m around that age cohort.

My Bitcoin maximalism isn’t about me though, it’s not about my finances - I’m doing quite well in fiat and whilst yes property is ridiculous now and an impossibility for many of my friends, it’s not for me.

My maximalism comes from a desire to separate money and state. I see that as the only means to end the excesses of big government (authoritarianism), severely restrict war, and force economic behaviour to return to productive ends rather than rampant speculation and leeching. For me, this is the epoch defining goal of this time (on par with separating church and state) where multiple cycles are colliding and new order is being born.

I also don’t expect I’m going to find myself in some anarchist state. Quite the contrary, I expect we’re going to see more authoritarianism generally so I’m seeking to geoarbitrage not just my money, but the legal systems and policing that I’m going to be subjected to under no illusion that I’m going to change these things. Ironically the supposed “free” western liberal democracies are likely to be the worst locations, I see more freedom in communist Vietnam or Bukele’s totalitarian El Salvador than I do in my home country of Australia where they’ve become so nanny statist and so fascistic that they’re using the countries wealth specifically to restrict personal liberties now.

Nor do I see this as inevitable in Mike’s frame. What is inevitable is this current unipolar system will die and a multipolar order will replace it, todays fiat currencies will consolidate and I see Bitcoin emerging as a supranational economic pole in this new order.

Your country mix is maybe 25% of how this is likely to go, game theory dictates those who *need* bitcoin will adopt it differently than those who opportunistically adopt it for diversification / economic growth. Throw in nostr as the bitcoin economy and it could go in a ton of different directions but if you work off the idea of polarities and also understand the current order of nation states is highly unlikely to be the status quo in 20 years much less 50 or 100, this view point will make more sense than Mike’s projected “Anarchists Anonymous” nonsense.

What specifically makes Vietnam and El Salvador "freer" countries to you? Do you think say, a gay person would be "freer" in one of these countries than Australia, for example?

Yes, actually! Including trying the new GPT-4 model. It's pretty impressive. However, it ends up going in directions I don't necessarily agree with, and spend more time poking and prodding at ChatGPT to go the direction I want, then just writing it myself.

My sense, is ChatGPT is probably much better at helping with writer's block for fiction than it is for non-fiction.

I have tried to move in that direction. Especially since almost losing my daughter in 2020. But I think, to the extent, you can even talk about the "good life", you can only talk about it as an iterative process. Not an absolute state.