chart by nostr:nprofile1qyx8wumn8ghj7cnjvghxjmcpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqg9enk72qxz2xt89tyzvkfnmytjrfq3ujl6p3umd4awjmlcd676uyukldzya
thoughts?
Discussion
This chart angers me.
It inspires me
Elaborate? Also GM Pierre. Loving the Reorg
Weâre still at <1% adoption of bitcoin, the chart has a lot of room to run!
Diminishing returns shouldnât be a dirty word. The trend is for CAGR to go down forever, at least if you measure it against a relatively scarce commodity like gold. Measuring CAGR in dollars can get noisy with the money printing.
There is no second best savings tech, so the decision to continue stacking sats is an easy one
Good points. Wouldn't mind a little noise to the upside though
The reorg is great.
Diminishing returns is a strong model.
Bitcoin breaks every model.
Supercycle incoming.
Came here for the same comment đ
It's so obvious! I love knowing the future.
Agree, Iâm very skeptical of diminishing returns
Scarcest, most secure good in the history of mankind. Strongest, fastest network effects of any technology.
Yet â Diminishing returns.
Bruh something doesn't add up. Until you add in the immense weight of a global fiat banking cartel to help flatten that curve.
So much room for a super cycle!
Hurdle rate still to high to not stack and ve fine with it
Also, thatâs in a monetary tightening cycle. Big macro tailwinds over the next 5 years.
I'll gladly talk about the winds when they fill my sails.
I'm not saying you're wrong, I do feel the same. The thing is, I've heard a lot about headwinds over the last year or two and still saw stocks grow ~$2000 for S&P500. So anything shorter than face-melting will be disappointing (to a degree, 'cause I'm not a degen gambling my house on it either lol)
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Last 5 years have been great for humbly stacking
Hmmm, not sure how this links to the liquidity narrative that is all the rage recently. Sort of goes against it. Also why choose 5 year over 4 year? Does 4 year have some small negative return?
ITâS ALL OVER. SELL, SELL, SELL
â Jim Cramer
Iâll take it
It's called adoption dynamic. Long term S shape adoption curve in progress.
Every S curve looks like an exp curve at the beginning, later a power law curve, then a log curve and finally an asynthote.
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Thanks for sharing. Why 5 years? What does 4 years show? Are there other meaningful intervals?
diminishing returns?
Opportunity cost of holding anything else
Looking at bitcoins price tag since 2017 listening to predictions and forecasts all along made me realize one thing very clear.
Weâve absolutely no fucking clue about the beasts potential but one thing is clear. Itâs changing the way humans life and evolve đ§Ą
BTFD!
Less percent but from much higher values âŠ. If fiat is any value, which is notâŠ. so fuck any fiat charts.
Follow the bounce đ€·ââïž
Also what's this chart denominated in? đ
Odell approved answer:
Stay Humble & stack sats
My unapproved Odell answer: makes sense. CAGR is Asymptotical in the long run as adoption ramps up.
number go down. big sad.
law of large numbers, diminishing returns, whatever you want to call it.
Tells me the risk of holding BTC is getting lower over time.
Which is true.
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It happened 3 times so it must happen 4th one mentality.
CAGR doesn't matter so much when nominal value is what you're able to spend.
Other assets are viewed solely in CAGR because you can't spend them directly.
Purchasing power is purchasing power
CAGR is asymptotically tending to 50% ... untill it doesn't.
Reverse head and shoulders! Massive breakout due?
I can't read charts that don't have lines all over them.
I don't know what cagr is and this point I'm too afraid to ask.
compound annual growth rate (on average, what is bitcoinâs annual return over a certain period of time). in this case I believe the cagr is being measured over a trailing 4 year time period.
5 years* i canât read
Bitcoin doesnât have a CAGR. It is a measurement used in a fiat system that requires interest or dividends to be folded back into the principal over time as its fundamental mechanism. Bitcoins price is market driven with no interest or dividend payout. Applying CAGR to Bitcoin price is comparing apples with pairs at best.
Looks to me like it's gonna be higher soon. The next five years are gonna be lit
That before the 5 year, everyone was constantly talking about the 4 year (below) until it went to shit and didn't fit the narrative
Let Bitcoin do it's thing and "stay humble, stack sats"
Ponder this, my peers: the Prime Pioneers, those pompous progenitors of the protocol, perceive not the piercing pain of we plebs who piled into Bitcoinâs promise near the peak of 2021. Every phase presents its peculiar plightâyet the privileged, perched in their plush palaces, preach to the perspiring proletariat, we who persevere, palming our precious satoshis through an 80% plummet. Their prattle provokes pique in the patient, the proud who press on where paler souls perish.
Ponder further: perchance weâre still in the preamble if Bitcoinâs propagation persistsâa prospect positively pulsing with potential, though no prophecy pledges it. Weâre poised at the portal of a pristine paradigm, a prodigious play far past petty plebs pitching pennies. Nay, this is a behemoth, a paramount power, and its pacing pausesâfor the grander the giant, the more profound its plunge. And lo, this is the pinnacle of them all.
my investment thesis: 
look forward to the trend reversal
Super cycle
CAGR will normalize to 80-100% range +-
Mainly because too many negative cases over the past few years (SBF, Celsius) and upcoming positive cases (SBR) havenât been priced in
Short squeeze incoming
Live CAGR chart here:
Knowing very little about this it just looks like our 4 year cycle is shot to shit, ETF's bringing those fcukers into the arena and now that buffoon Trump fiddling around with shit. Anything could happen, it feels a more worrisome time than ever.
Clown take.
Anyone feeling "worried" in bitcoin right now needs to turn off their phone for a while.
Things could not possibly be better for bitcoin.
Two important observations:
1. The 5-Year CAGR of #bitcoin is clearly diminishing over time.
2. For the foreseeable future, bitcoin's CAGR is likely to far outperform that of most, if not all, other major asset classes.
#Bitcoin CAGR diminishes as the the Bitcoin Industry grows bigger and bigger
Is this trend our friend?
Dreadful, was here in 2020 it was breathtaking. Completely and utterly captured by wall st and the government now. Sad
Had to happen
Bottom is in đ
Bitcoin doesnât have a CAGR. It is a measurement used in a fiat system that requires interest or dividends to be folded back into the principal over time as its fundamental mechanism. Bitcoins price is market driven with no interest or dividend payout. Applying CAGR to Bitcoin price is comparing apples with pairs at best.